The annual cycle of precipitation over the southern part of Mexico and Central America exhibits a bimodal distribution with maxima during June and September-October and a relative minimum during July and August, known as the midsummer drought (MSD). The MSD is not associated with the meridional migration of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and its double crossing over Central America but rather with fluctuations in the intensity and location of the eastern Pacific ITCZ. During the transition from intense to weak (weak to intense) convective activity, the trade winds over the Caribbean strengthen (weaken). Such acceleration in the trade winds is part of the dynamic response of the low-level atmosphere to the magnitude of the convective forcing in the ITCZ. The intensification of the trade winds during July and August and the orographic forcing of the mountains over most of Central America result in maximum precipitation along the Caribbean coast and minimum precipitation along the Pacific coast of Central America. Changes in the divergent (convergent) low-level winds over the ''warm pool'' off the west coast of southern Mexico and Central America determine the evolution of the MSD. Maximum deep convective activity over the northern equatorial eastern Pacific, during the onset of the summer rainy season, is reached when sea surface temperatures exceed 29ЊC (around May). After this, the SSTs over the eastern Pacific warm pool decrease around 1ЊC due to diminished downwelling solar radiation and stronger easterly winds (during July and August). Such SST changes near 28ЊC result in an substantial decrease in deep convective activity, associated with the nonlinear interaction between SST and deep tropical convection. Decreased deep tropical convection allows increased downwelling solar radiation and a slight increase in SSTs, which reach a second maximum (ϳ28.5ЊC) by the end of August and early September. This increase in SST results once again in stronger low-level convergence, enhanced deep convection, and, consequently, in a second maximum in precipitation. The MSD signal can also be detected in other variables such as minimum and maximum surface temperature and even in tropical cyclone activity over the eastern Pacific.
Temporal and spatial variations of convection in South Asia are analyzed using eight years of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Precipitation Radar (PR) data and NCEP reanalysis fields. To identify the most extreme convective features, three types of radar echo structures are defined: deep convective cores (contiguous 3D convective echo ≥40 dBZ extending ≥10 km in height) represent the most vertically penetrative convection, wide convective cores (contiguous convective ≥40 dBZ echo over a horizontal area ≥1000 km2) indicate wide regions of intense multicellular convection, and broad stratiform regions (stratiform echo contiguous over an area ≥50 000 km2) mark the mesoscale convective systems that have developed the most robust stratiform regions. The preferred locations of deep convective cores change markedly from India’s east coast in the premonsoon to the western Himalayan foothills in the monsoon. They form preferentially in the evening and over land as near-surface moist flow is capped by dry air aloft. Continental wide convective cores show a similar behavior with an additional nocturnal peak during the monsoon along the Himalayan foothills that is associated with convergence of downslope flow from the Himalayas with moist monsoonal winds at the foothills. The oceanic wide convective cores have a relatively weak diurnal cycle with a midday maximum. Convective systems exhibiting broad stratiform regions occur primarily in the rainiest season and regions—during the monsoon, over the ocean upstream of coastal mountains. Their diurnal patterns are similar to those of the wide convective cores.
SUMMARYThis study documents two strong Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP) storms. Each occurred ahead of a strong baroclinic trough. Even though their 500 and 850 hPa ow patterns were strikingly similar upstream of the Alps, their ow at lower levels was different and resulted in different forms of orographic enhancement of the precipitation associated with baroclinic systems by the Alpine terrain. During Intensive Observing Period (IOP) 2b, the low-level ow and thermodynamic conditions over the Alps north-west of the Lago Maggiore region constituted an unstable atmosphere with Froude number Fr > 1 (i.e. unblocked or ow-over regime), while in IOP 8 the ow was stable with Fr < 1 (i.e. blocked or ow-around regime in the region immediately upstream of the slopes on the western side of Lago Maggiore). For IOP 2b (IOP 8) the wind eld and precipitation patterns north-west of the Lago Maggiore were very similar to the high-(low-) Fr autumn climatology. Thus the two cases represent fundamentally distinct regimes of orographic modi cation of the baroclinic precipitation.During IOP 8 (blocked case), the strong stability and weak wind speed at low levels prevented the air ow from rising over the slopes north-west of the Lago Maggiore region and forced it to turn away from the mountains. The precipitation over the mountains was produced as the strong ow above 900 hPa was forced over the blocked low-level air as well as the terrain. In contrast, during IOP 2b (unblocked case) the ow was strong at all levels with low static stability; therefore the low-level air rose easily over the abruptly rising terrain. Since the lowerlevel air rose together with the upper-level air, it could transport upward moisture unavailable in the blocked case; this moisture condensed to add signi cantly to the precipitation production in the unblocked case. In addition to the high Fr, the air was potentially unstable; the slight instability of the airstream impinging upon the upslopes favoured the development of convective cells over the lower slopes which were embedded in the stratiform background lifting, thus further enhancing the formation of cloud and precipitation on the lower windward slopes.Examination of all the cases observed by polarimetric radar in MAP con rmed the microphysical processes seen in IOPs 2b and 8, and suggests fundamental microphysical differences between the unstable unblocked, and stable blocked cases. In both cases precipitation forms by a simple stratiform process in the form of dry snow aloft, becoming wet snow at the melting layer and falling out as rain below. However, in the unstable unblocked cases rainfall is enhanced by the participation of the low-level ow in the orographic lifting; when the low-level air rises easily over the rst high peaks of terrain, raindrops grow rapidly by coalescence at low levels, and graupel forms just above the 0 ± C level. The coalescence-produced drops and melted graupel particles contribute to heavy rain on the lower Alpine slopes. The orographic enhancement in the stable blocked case...
During the Asian summer monsoon, convection occurs frequently near the Himalayan foothills. However, the nature of the convective systems varies dramatically from the western to eastern foothills. The analysis of high-resolution numerical simulations and available observations from two case-studies and of the monsoon climatology indicates that this variation is a result of region-specific orographically modified flows and land surface flux feedbacks.Convective systems containing intense convective echo occur in the western region as moist Arabian Sea low-level air traverses desert land, where surface flux of sensible heat enhances buoyancy. As the flow approaches the Himalayan foothills, the soil may provide an additional source of moisture if it was moistened by a previous precipitation event. Low-level and elevated layers of dry, warm, continental flow apparently cap the low-level moist flow, inhibiting the release of instability upstream of the foothills. The convection is released over the small foothills as the potentially unstable flow is orographically lifted to saturation.Convective systems containing broad stratiform echo occur in the eastern Himalayas in association with Bay of Bengal depressions, as strong low-level flow transports maritime moisture into the region. As the flow progresses over the Bangladesh wetlands, additional moisture is extracted from the diurnally heated surface. Convection is triggered as conditionally unstable flow is lifted upstream of and over the foothills. The convective cells evolve into mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) with convective and stratiform areas. The MCSs are advected farther into the Himalayan eastern indentation, where orographic lifting enhances the stratiform precipitation.
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