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SignificanceGlobal pollinator declines have raised significant concern over food security, human health, and agricultural productivity. Our work highlights how the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) has a direct influence on landscape suitability for supporting honey bee apiaries in a region harboring >1 million colonies. Our analysis revealed recent conversion of CRP grassland to annual crops in core areas of the commercial beekeeping industry, thereby reducing forage lands for honey bees at a time when the number of colonies in this region has never been greater. Our land-use scenario models provide policy makers with direct information on how future CRP acreage caps established by the US Congress will affect the environmental carrying capacity for supporting honey bees and the US beekeeping industry.

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