One of the busiest airports in Indonesia managed by PT. Angkasa Pura I is Juanda International Airport. Besides, Juanda International Airport is also one of the gateways for the Indonesian state to other countries. The number of passengers at the departure terminal at Juanda International Airport from 2012 to 2013, both domestic and international routes, has increased by about 6.74%. Meanwhile, the arrival terminal experienced an increase of about 8.31%. From 2013 to 2014 the departure route decreased by 2.51%. Meanwhile, the arrival route decreased by 1.99%. In 2014 to 2015 the departure route decreased by 11.31%. Meanwhile, the arrival route decreased by 0.78%. There is an increase and decrease in the number of passengers at Juanda International Airport, it is necessary to research forecasting the number of passengers at Juanda International Airport, both from domestic routes and international routes. The purpose of this study is to balance number of passengers and number of flights in the future with the availability of the number of aircraft and airport capacity. The data used is data on the number of passengers each month at Juanda International Airport. Where the data was obtained from PT. Angkasa Pura I (Persero). The criteria for selecting the best model based on the RMSE value shows that the best model selected by the ARIMA model has 14 routes, while the selected Time Series Regression model has 9 routes and the selected TBATS model has 7 routes.Abstrak: Salah satu bandara tersibuk di Indonesia yang diolah PT. Angkasa Pura I adalah Bandara Internasional Juanda. Selain itu, Bandara Internasional Juanda juga merupakan salah satu pintu gerbang negara Indonesia menuju negara-negara lain. Jumlah penumpang di terminal keberangkatan Bandara Internasional Juanda dari tahun 2012 hingga tahun 2013 baik rute domestik maupun internasional mengalami peningkatan sekitar 6,74%. Sedangkan di terminal kedatangan mengalami kenaikan sekitar 8,31%. Pada tahun 2013 hingga tahun 2014 pada rute keberangkatan mengalami penurunan sebesar 2,51%. Sedangkan pada rute kedatangan mengalami penurunan sebesar 1,99%.Pada tahun 2014 hingga tahun 2015 pada rute keberangkatan mengalami penurunan sebesar 11,31%. Sedangkan pada rute kedatangan mengalami penurunan sebesar 0,78%. Adanya kenaikan dan penurunan jumlah penumpang di Bandara Internasional Juanda, maka perlu diadakan penelitian mengenai peramalan jumlah penumpang di Bandara Internasional Juanda, baik dari rute domestik maupun rute internasional. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menyeimbangkan jumlah penumpang dan jumlah penerbangan pada masa mendatang dengan ketersediaan jumlah pesawat dan kapasitas bandar udara.Data yang digunakan adalah data jumlah penumpang tiap bulan di Bandara Internasional Juanda. Dimana data tersebut diperoleh dari PT. Angkasa Pura I (Persero). Kriteria pemilihan model terbaik berdasarkan nilai RMSE menunjukkan bahwa Model terbaik yang terpilih model ARIMA terdapat 14 rute sedangkan yang terpilih model Regresi Time Series terdapat 9 rute dan yang terpilih model TBATS terdapat 7 rute.
Purpose - The purpose of this study was to analyze the combination of old and new media use in Nursi movement da’wah in Indonesia.Method– This study used a qualitative method by an approach of combining old and new media in da’wah. The data were collected by interviewing Indonesian figures, observing the Nursi’s da’wah activities, and reading the Risale-I Nur.Result - The results showed that the Nursi movement emphasized a combination of old and new media in doing da’wah. Old media used the Risale-I Nur as a writing media and the radio as an electronic media. The old one was used for disseminating da’wah messages related to theological (aqidah) and Islam law content suitable to the controlling character of old media. New media such as blog-website, WhatsApp, YouTube, Facebook, and Instagram were used for conveying da’wah in the form of good words, spiritual advice, and avoiding the issues of khilafiyah (Islamic thoughts differences). It is relevant to the democratic character of new media.Implication –This study suggested that the use of old and new media in da’wah should be combined. It is to contribute to disseminating a comprehensive da’wah. Originality – The study was the first work in the da’wah field that emphasizes the urgency of combining old and new media use in da’wah activities.***Tujuan - Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis kombinasi penggunaan media lama dan baru dalam dakwah gerakan Nursi di Indonesia.Metode– Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kualitatif dengan pendekatan menggabungkan media lama dan media baru dalam dakwah. Pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui wawancara dengan tokoh-tokoh Nursi Indonesia, mengamati kegiatan dakwah Nursi, dan membaca Risale-I Nur.Hasil - Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa gerakan Nursi menekankan kombinasi media lama dan media baru dalam berdakwah. Media lama yang digunakan adalah Risale-I Nur sendiri sebagai media tulis dan radio sebagai media elektronik. Media lama digunakan untuk menyebarluaskan pesan-pesan dakwah terkait muatan teologis (aqidah) dan syariat Islam yang sesuai dengan karakter pengendali media lama. Media baru seperti blog-website, WhatsApp, YouTube, Facebook, dan Instagram digunakan untuk menyampaikan dakwah dalam bentuk kata-kata yang baik, nasihat spiritual, dan menghindari isu-isu khilafiyah (perbedaan pemikiran Islam). Hal ini relevan dengan karakter demokratis media baru.Implikasi – Penelitian ini menyarankan agar penggunaan media lama dan baru dalam dakwah harus dikombinasikan. Hal ini untuk berkontribusi dalam menyebarluaskan dakwah yang komprehensif.Orisinalitas – Kajian ini merupakan karya pertama dalam bidang dakwah yang menekankan urgensi menggabungkan penggunaan media lama dan baru dalam kegiatan dakwah.
This paper aims to analyze the virtual da'wa laboratory of Walisongo TV (WTV) and MBS FM owned by the Faculty of Da’wa and Communication, UIN Walisongo Semarang in nurturing Islamic moderatism during Ramadan 2020 amid the Covid-19 Pandemic. This research is a qualitative study using the New Media and Religion approach from Cambpbell (2010) who stated that there are two important objects regarding online religion, namely the technical aspects of new media, and the non-technical aspects related to three things, namely the community, authority, and textual media. The study concludes that first, technically WTV and MBS uses new media such as WhatsApp, Instagram, YouTube, Jitsi.meet, and Zoom meeting for all activities, starting from the internal crew's coordination; communication between crews and da’i in discussing da’wa contents; videos taking process; production activities, to promotions and publications. Second, non-technically WTV and MBS FM provide the products in the form of recordings and LIVE (live broadcast). The products represent the Islamic moderate community behind the media authorized by Nadlatul Ulama (NU) da’wa ideology. Hence, media text broadcasted is framed by the jargon “Islam Rahmatan li al-‘Alamin” based on the classical Islamic texts (Kitab Kuning). This suggests that community, authority, and textual media have to be taken into account in forming a virtual moderate da’wa laboratory.
The study aims to examine the contribution of Shaykh Nawawi al-Bantani to the formation of pesantren nationalism through the preaching of bil qalam. The method used is a qualitative method by exploring the works of Shaykh Nawawi al-Bantani, especially those relating to jihad in the national context reflecting the attitude of nationalism, and by seeing their contribution to the world of pesantren. The results of the study showed that Shaykh Nawawi alBantani preached with bil qalam approach, namely in the form of intellectual jihad. He was not directly involved in physical resistance against the invader. But it instilled the enthusiasm and awareness of the love of the motherland in each of his students. Nawawi's work was then taught in the world of pesantren, especially NU pesantran. Scholars like KH. Hasyim Asy'ari, who was influenced by Nawawi's struggle, built the NU organization that not only appeared as the most significant Islamic mass organization but also contributed to the initial formation of the Indonesian national identity. It can be seen from the involvement of KH. Wahid Hasyim in the 1945 BPUPKI-PPKI session. It shows that NU has the same Islamic orientation as what Syaikh Nawawi thought. Nawawi's moderate and contextual attitude always colors NU's actions in carrying out religious propaganda and national propaganda in Indonesia. This also proves that santri is not just a religious entity that lives in Indonesian society, but at a crucial point, santri is the identity of the Indonesian people themselves. Penelitian bertujuan mengkaji kontribusi Syaikh Nawawi al-Bantani bagi pembentukan nasionalisme pesantren melalui dakwah bil qalam. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode kualitatif, dengan cara mengeksplorasi karya Syaikh Nawawi al-Bantani terutama yang berkaitan dengan jihad dalam konteks kebangsaan yang mencerminkan sikap nasionalisme, kemudian dilihat kontribusinya bagi dunia pesantren. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian menyimpulkan bahwa Syaikh Nawawi al-Bantani berdakwah dengan pendekatan bil qalam, yaitu berupa jihad intelektual. Ia tidak terlibat langsung dalam aksi perlawanan fisik melawan penjajah, tapi ia menanamkan semangat dan kesadaran akan cinta tanah air ke dalam diri setiap murid-muridnya. Karya Nawawi kemudian diajarkan di dunia pesantren terutama pesantran NU. Ulama seperti KH. Hasyim Asy’ari yang terpengaruh oleh perjuangan Nawawi ini membangun organisasi NU yang tidak hanya tampil sebagai ormas keislaman terbesar, tetapi juga berkontribusi bagi pembentukan awal jati diri bangsa Indonesia. Hal ini terlihat dari keterlibatan KH. Wahid Hasyim dalam sidang BPUPKI-PPKI 1945. Ini menunjukkan bahwa NU memiliki orientasi keislaman yang sama dengan apa yang dipikirkan oleh Syaikh Nawawi. Sikap moderat dan kontekstual Nawawi senantiasa pula mewarnai sepak terjang NU dalam melakukan dakwah keagamaan dan dakwah kebangsaan di Indonesia. Ini juga membuktikan bahwa santri bukan sekadar sebuah entitas keagamaan yang hidup dalam masyarakat Indonesia, tapi pada titik yang sangat menentukan, santri merupakan jati diri bangsa Indonesia itu sendiri.
In the health field, Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) cannot be done because it relates to human life. The covariates variable as well as the presence of confounding variable in non-experimental research are usually not balanced between the treatment and control groups that cause the estimated treatment effect to be biased. One of the appropriate methods to overcome the biased treatment effect is the Propensity Score Matching (PSM). This study will compare the performance of the Propensity Score Matching-Support Vector Machine (PSM-SVM) method and the Propensity Score Matching-Binary Logistic Regression (PSM-RLB) method in cases of HIV/AIDS opportunistic infection. The confounding variable used was the opportunistic infection variable. The data used were data of HIV/AIDS patients treated at the Grati Public Health Center, Pasuruan Regency in 2016. The results showed that the variable of ARV therapy had a significant effect on opportunistic infections in HIV/AIDS patients. If we look at how much bias can be reduced, PSM-SVM is able to reduce bias more than the PSM-RLB method, which is 60.25%. However, the PSM-SVM method can produce a bias value (after matching) that is smaller than the PSM-RLB method, which is 0.044.
This study investigates the influence of learning patterns on religious tolerance. Variable learning patterns are divided into three aspects: (1) cognitive patterns, (2) socio-affective patterns, and (3) practical-empirical patterns. The variable of religious tolerance is divided into attitude-forming components, including: (1) knowledge of religious tolerance, (2) feeling of religious tolerance, and (3) actual act of religious tolerance. This research is a quantitative type using multiple linear regression analysis models. Data was collected through a survey of 320 research respondents and data analysis used descriptive statistical analysis and inferential statistical analysis. The analysis results with the simultaneous test (F-test) showed that the three learning patterns significantly influence religious tolerance, which can be seen from the p-Value (0.00) < alpha (0.05)); (F > F table)). The partial test results (t-test) show; First, the understanding of religious tolerance is dominantly influenced by cognitive learning patterns with a value (p-Value (0.00) <alpha (0.05)); (t(10.21) > t table (1.97)). Second, the feeling of religious tolerance is dominated by the influence of cognitive and socio-affective learning patterns with each having (p-Value (0.000) <alpha (0.05)); (t (9.50) > t table (1.97) and (p-Value (0.000) < alpha (0.05)); (t (3.65) > t table (1.97)). Third, cognitive, socio-affective, and practical-empirical learning styles had the same influence on tolerant behavior specifically (p-Value = 0.00 alpha = 0.05) (p-Value (0.00) < alpha (0.05)). These findings can be used as a basis for compiling educational regulations so that learning is carried out with strategies that support student learning patterns.
Our research aims to find out the problems experienced by students and lecturers in the implementation of online learning, during the Covid-19 pandemic and efforts to overcome styles in universities. Qualitative descriptive approaches and exploratory case studies were used to collect data from students and lecturers at the State Islamic University of Walisongo Indonesia. This study shows that the implementation of online learning during the COVID-19 pandemic has led to changes in the learning system that have led to a new lecture paradigm that can be highlighted in four sub-scales including the level of saturation, seriousness and participation in learning, learning motivation, and the level of intellectual satisfaction. Meanwhile, the efforts made by lecturers in overcoming this problem are by maximizing the use of learning technology tools, modifying certain learning methods such as project based learning, integrated curriculum, and blended learning. This study contributes to research on pedagogy and online learning by clarifying the role of lecturers in finding problem solving problems faced by students.
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