A. The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data that may not be sparse; however, existing results depend on the independent setting of samples. In this study, we analyze a linear regression model with dependent time series data under over-parameterization settings. We consider an estimator via interpolation and developed a theory for excess risk of the estimator under multiple dependence types. This theory can treat infinite-dimensional data without sparsity and handle long-memory processes in a unified manner. Moreover, we bound the risk in our theory via the integrated covariance and nondegeneracy of autocorrelation matrices. The results show that the convergence rate of risks with short-memory processes is identical to that of cases with independent data, while long-memory processes slow the convergence rate. We also present several examples of specific dependent processes that can be applied to our setting.
We propose an online parametric estimation method of stochastic differential equations with discrete observations and misspecified modelling based on online gradient descent. Our study provides uniform upper bounds for the risks of the estimators over a family of stochastic differential equations. The derivation of the bounds involves three underlying theoretical results: the analysis of the stochastic mirror descent algorithm based on dependent and biased subgradients, the simultaneous exponential ergodicity of classes of diffusion processes, and the proposal of loss functions whose approximated stochastic subgradients are dependent only on the known model and observations.
We study Langevin-type algorithms for sampling from Gibbs distributions such that the potentials are dissipative and their weak gradients have finite moduli of continuity not necessarily convergent to zero. Our main result is a non-asymptotic upper bound of the 2-Wasserstein distance between the Gibbs distribution and the law of general Langevintype algorithms based on the Liptser-Shiryaev theory and Poincaré inequalities. We apply this bound to show that the Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm can approximate Gibbs distributions with arbitrary accuracy if the potentials are dissipative and their gradients are uniformly continuous. We also propose Langevin-type algorithms with spherical smoothing for potentials without convexity or continuous differentiability.
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