Water resources in Taiwan come predominantly from rivers. Hence, it is important to understand the impact of future climate scenarios for policymaking. To investigate the impact of accelerating climate change on river flow in Taiwan, a regional flow impact model (RFIM) was developed. The RFIM is based on the radial basis function neural network. It adapts the genetic algorithm for parameter optimisation and the bootstrap method for quantifying uncertainties in the model and its results. The study area is the Taiwan Island, divided into four water resource management regions: North, Middle, South and East. After the RFIMs were developed for different regions, various future weather scenarios predicted from global circulation models were applied. The results suggest that the average discharge increases at a higher rate in the Middle and the East and the uncertainty of future discharge is higher in the Middle and the South of Taiwan Island.
Water resources in Taiwan come predominantly from rivers. Hence, it is important to understand the impact of future climate scenarios for policymaking. To investigate the impact of accelerating climate change on river flow in Taiwan, a regional flow impact model (RFIM) was developed. The RFIM is based on the radial basis function neural network. It adapts the genetic algorithm for parameter optimisation and the bootstrap method for quantifying uncertainties in the model and its results. The study area is the Taiwan Island, divided into four water resource management regions: North, Middle, South and East. After the RFIMs were developed for different regions, various future weather scenarios predicted from global circulation models were applied. The results suggest that the average discharge increases at a higher rate in the Middle and the East and the uncertainty of future discharge is higher in the Middle and the South of Taiwan Island.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.