BackgroundBreast-cancer incidence and mortality have been increasing in Japan. Japanese-specific clinical validity and utility data for the 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX® Breast Cancer Assay; Genomic Health, Inc., Redwood City, USA) are now available. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the 21-gene assay for the guidance of adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in estrogen-receptor–positive, lymph-node–negative, early-stage breast cancer patients, from the Japanese societal perspective.MethodsThe recurrence risk group distribution by the 21-gene assay result and the assay’s influence on adjuvant chemotherapy recommendations were obtained from a study of 104 patients. A state-transition cohort (Markov) model tracked time from surgery until distant recurrence and from distant recurrence to death. Adjuvant chemotherapy benefit by 21-gene assay risk group was based on published clinical validation studies. Direct and indirect medical costs were obtained from the referral centers. Utilities associated with progression and chemotherapy-related adverse events were extracted from literature. Sensitivity analyses assessed the key drivers and robustness of the primary outcomes.ResultsThe 21-gene assay identified 48% of patients as low-risk, 36% as intermediate-risk, and 16% as high-risk. Total acute chemotherapy-related costs decreased by ¥154,066 due to less adjuvant chemotherapy usage. In the high-risk group, adjuvant chemotherapy use increased 18%, leading to survival benefits. Chemotherapy use overall decreased by 19%. Monitoring costs increased by ¥3,744 but recurrence costs declined by ¥46,113 per patient. Use of the 21-gene assay increased quality-adjusted–life-years (QALYs) by 0.241 per patient on average; the net cost per QALY gained was ¥636,752 ($6,368).ConclusionsThe 21-gene assay for women with estrogen-receptor–positive, lymph-node–negative, early-stage breast cancer is projected to be cost-effective in Japan.

Background: Breast cancer incidence and breast-cancer mortality have been increasing in Japan. In estrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer, adding chemotherapy as adjuvant treatment is not definitive benefit for all women. Primary data on the clinical validity and decision impact of the 21-gene Recurrence Score for guiding the use of adjuvant chemotherapy has been studied among a Japanese population. Objective: The cost-effectiveness of the clinically validated 21-gene Recurrence Score for estrogen-receptor-positive, lymph-node-negative, early-stage breast cancer (ESBC) was assessed from a Japanese societal perspective. Method: The proportion of patients with low, intermediate, and high risk of recurrence by the 21-gene Recurrence Score and the influence of the Recurrence Score on use of adjuvant chemotherapy were obtained in a study of 104 patients. A Markov model was used to track time until distant recurrence and time from distant recurrence to death. Effect of adjuvant chemotherapy based on 21-gene Recurrence Score was based on published clinical validation studies. Direct and indirect medical costs were obtained from the referral center. Utilities associated with progression and adverse events associated with chemotherapy were extracted from the literature. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the key drivers of cost-effectiveness and the robustness of the findings to variations in the input estimates. Results: Forty-eight percent of patients were identified by the 21-gene Recurrence Score as low-risk, 36% as intermediate-risk, and 16% as high-risk. In treatment decision by using the 21-gene Recurrence Score, chemotherapy use overall decreased by 19%, resulting in an average increase of 0.235 QALYs. Testing with the 21-gene Recurrence Score cost ¥350,000 per patient with ¥153,490 lower acute costs because fewer women were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Eighteen percent more women who were identified as high risk were recommended adjuvant chemotherapy, which results in longer progression-free survival. On average across all risk groups, cost of monitoring until recurrence per patient increased by ¥3,572 and costs associated with recurrence declined by ¥43,687. Use of the 21-gene Recurrence Score resulted in a net cost of ¥665,455 ($8,386) per QALY gained. Conclusions: The change in decisions resulting from use of the 21-gene Recurrence Score in women with estrogen-receptor-positive, lymph-node-negative, ESBC is projected to be societally cost-effective in Japan. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-15-06.

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