Regional population forecast and analysis is of essence to urban and regional planning, and a well-designed plan can effectively construct a sound national infrastructure and stabilize positive population growth. Traditionally, either urban or regional planning relies on the opinions of demographers in terms of how the population of a city or a region will grow. Multi-regional population forecast is currently possible, carried out mainly on the basis of the Interregional Cohort-Component model. While this model has its unique advantages, several demographic rates are determined based on the decisions made by primary planners. Hence, the only drawback for cohort-component type population forecasting is allowing the analyst to specify the demographic rates of the future, and it goes without saying that this tends to introduce a biased result in forecasting accuracy. To effectively avoid this problem, this work proposes a machine learning-based method to forecast multi-regional population growth objectively. Thus, this work, drawing upon the newly developed machine learning technology, attempts to analyze and forecast the population growth of major cities in Taiwan. By effectively using the advantage of the XGBoost algorithm, the evaluation of feature importance and the forecast of multi-regional population growth between the present and the near future can be observed objectively, and it can further provide an objective reference to the urban planning of regional population.
Since the intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) was proposed by Atanassov, many explorations of this particular fuzzy set were conducted. One of the most important areas is the study of similarity and distance between IFSs, which can measure the degree of deviation of objects with uncertain and vague features, and this technique has great value and potential to solve the fuzzy and uncertain problems in the real world. Based on our previous similarity/distance measure model DJJ (α, β), a new method is proposed for improving the performance of similarity/distance measure model of IFSs, which is derived from the sum of the areas of two triangles constructed by the transformed isosceles triangles of two IFSs. A great effort is made to prove the validity of the proposed method by mathematical derivation. In order to further demonstrate the performance of the proposed method, we apply this method to solve some practical problems such as pattern recognition, medical diagnosis, and cluster analysis. In addition, we also list a series of the existing methods which are used to compare with the proposed method to prove the effectiveness and superiority. The experimental results confirm that the performance of the proposed method exceeds most of the existing methods.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.