Objective:This study aims to construct and validate several machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict long-term mortality and identify risk factors in unselected patients post-cardiac surgery.MethodsThe Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database was used to perform a retrospective administrative database study. Candidate predictors consisted of the demographics, comorbidity, vital signs, laboratory test results, scoring systems, and treatment information on the first day of ICU admission. Four-year mortality was set as the study outcome. We used the ML methods of logistic regression (LR), artificial neural network (NNET), naïve bayes (NB), gradient boosting machine (GBM), adapting boosting (Ada), random forest (RF), bagged trees (BT), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). The prognostic capacity and clinical utility of these ML models were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsOf 7,368 patients in MIMIC-III included in the final cohort, a total of 1,337 (18.15%) patients died during a 4-year follow-up. Among 65 variables extracted from the database, a total of 25 predictors were selected using recursive feature elimination and included in the subsequent analysis. The Ada model performed best among eight models in both discriminatory ability with the highest AUC of 0.801 and goodness of fit (visualized by calibration curve). Moreover, the DCA shows that the net benefit of the RF, Ada, and BT models surpassed that of other ML models for almost all threshold probability values. Additionally, through the Ada technique, we determined that red blood cell distribution width (RDW), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), SAPS II, anion gap (AG), age, urine output, chloride, creatinine, congestive heart failure, and SOFA were the Top 10 predictors in the feature importance rankings.ConclusionsThe Ada model performs best in predicting 4-year mortality after cardiac surgery among the eight ML models, which might have significant application in the development of early warning systems for patients following operations.
Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) are designed to provide security into computer networks. Different classification models such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) has been successfully applied on the network data. Meanwhile, the extension or improvement of the current models using prototype selection simultaneous with their training phase is crucial due to the serious inefficacies during training (i.e. learning overhead). This paper introduces an improved model for prototype selection. Applying proposed prototype selection along with SVM classification model increases attack discovery rate. In this article, we use fuzzy rough sets theory (FRST) for prototype selection to enhance SVM in intrusion detection. Testing and evaluation of the proposed IDS have been mainly performed on NSL-KDD dataset as a refined version of KDD-CUP99. Experimentations indicate that the proposed IDS outperforms the basic and simple IDSs and modern IDSs in terms of precision, recall, and accuracy rate.
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