Background
The prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) is generally evaluated at the time of diagnosis but does not reflect the survival dynamics of patients in the future. Therefore, the purpose of this article was to evaluate the conditional survival (CS) of Chinese patients with GISTs after radical resection.
Methods
This retrospective study included 451 patients who underwent radical surgery for GISTs. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS). The 3-year conditional DFS (CDFS3) of patients who survived for x years was expressed as CDFS3=DFS(x + 3)/DFS(x).
Results
The traditional 3-year DFS rate decreased gradually from 94.0% at 3 years to 77.3% at 7 years, while the CDFS3 rate increased from 94.0 to 95.2% over the survival time of the patients. In addition, classic clinicopathological prognostic factors had different effects on CDFS3, with changes observed in survival time, but these effects were only slight or moderate (|d|<0.5). Although multivariate analysis showed that age, sex, mitotic index and tumor rupture were independent risk factors for DFS at baseline, all adverse prognostic factors, except for the mitotic index, lost their predictive significance at 5 years after operation. When the Modified NIH criteria were included, the risk staging was found to be an independent risk factor for recurrence or death. Time-dependent Cox regression analysis showed that the modified NIH criteria independently affected the recurrence or death of GIST patients within 2 years after operation.
Conclusion
CS provides detailed dynamic survival information about Chinese patients with primary resected GISTs. The mitotic index is of great clinical significance for the monitoring and follow-up of patient populations with a high risk of tumor recurrence or death until 5 years after surgery.
Background: The textbook outcome (TO) emerges as a novel prognostic factor in surgical oncology.The present study aimed to evaluate the effect of TO on the risk of death and recurrence in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE).
Methods:The study involved retrospective analysis of 528 patients with ESCC who were subjected to MIE from January 2011 to December 2017. TO included 8 parameters: complete resection; microscopically tumor-negative resection margins (R0); ≥15 lymph nodes removed and examined; no serious postoperative complications; no postoperative intervention; no re-admission to the intensive care unit (ICU); hospital stay ≤21 days; and no readmission ≤30 days. The Cox and logistic regression model were used to analyze the prognostic factors of survival and risk factors for TO.Results: Among the 528 patients with ESCC who were subjected to MIE, 53.2% reached TO. In the case of patients with locally advanced ESCC, 5-year overall survival (OS) was 51.1% (41.2-61.2%) for the TO group but 33.7% (23.7-43.7%) for the non-TO group (HR =0.644, 95% CI: 0.449-0.924, P=0.015).Similarly, 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) was 47.6% (38.0-57.2%) for the TO group but 29.1% (20.1-38.1%) for the non-TO group (HR =0.671, 95% CI: 0.479-0.940, P=0.018). In addition, 5-year recurrencefree survival (RFS) was 62.9% (53.7-72.1%) for the TO group but 39.8% (29.4-50.2%) for the non-TO group (HR =0.606, 95% CI: 0.407-0.902, P=0.012). Multivariate logistic regression analysis further showed that age, American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score, intraoperative blood loss, and smoking status acted as independent risk factors for TO. The results of the multivariate analysis assisted in the establishment of a nomogram for the prediction of TO occurrence. This nomogram exhibited satisfactory consistency and prediction ability [area under the receiving operator characteristic (AUROC) =0.717].
Introduction
The potential association between severe postoperative complications (SPC) and the oncological outcomes of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients according to the different Naples Prognostic Score (NPS) of the inflammatory nutritional status after minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) is unclear.
Methods
Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS) between with or without SPC (Clavien–Dindo grade ≥ III) in low NPS status (NPS = 0 or 1) and high NPS status (NPS = 2 or 3 or 4) patients. Cox multivariable analysis was carried out to analyze the various independent factors of OS and DFS, and a nomogram based on SPC was established.
Results
A total of 20.7% (125/604) ESCC patients developed SPC after MIE. Patients with SPC exhibited poor 5‐year OS and DFS compared to those without SPC (all P < 0.001). Further analysis revealed that SPC significantly reduced OS and DFS in patients with high NPS status (all P < 0.001) but had little effect on the prognosis of patients with low NPS status (all P > 0.05). Multivariable Cox analysis revealed that SPC could be an independent influence indicator for OS and DFS in patients with high NPS status. Therefore, a novel nomogram combining SPC and tumor‐node‐metastasis (TNM) staging has been developed, which was found to be relatively more accurate in predicting OS and DFS than TNM staging alone.
Conclusion
Severe complications can adversely affect the long‐term oncological outcome of ESCC patients with high systemic inflammatory response and malnutrition after MIE.
Background
This study aimed to evaluate the effect of the presence of a radiographically manifested ground-glass opacity (GGO) component on the prognosis of patients with pathological stage IA3 lung adenocarcinoma.
Methods
Patients diagnosed with pathological stage IA3 lung adenocarcinoma who underwent radical surgery at two medical institutions in China between July 2012 and July 2020 were enrolled. The cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR) and cumulative incidence of death (CID) in patients with and without a GGO component were compared. Risk curves for the recurrence and tumor-related death overtime were analyzed between the two groups according to life table. In order to validate the prognostic value of GGO components, the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were estimated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate the clinical benefit rate of different models.
Results
Among the 352 included patients, the presence of a GGO component was radiographically shown in 166 (47.2%) patients, while 186 (52.8%) displayed solid nodules. Patients exhibiting the absence of a GGO component had higher incidences of total recurrence (17.2%
vs.
3.0%, P<0.001), local-regional recurrence (LRR) (5.4%
vs.
0.6%, P=0.010), distant metastasis (DM) (8.1%
vs.
1.8%, P=0.008), and multiple recurrences (4.3%
vs.
0.6%, P=0.028) than the presence-GGO component group. The 5-year CIR and CID were 7.5% and 7.4% in the presence-GGO component group, and 24.5% and 17.0% in the absence-GGO component group, respectively, with statistically significant differences between the two groups (P<0.05). The risk of recurrence in patients with the presence of GGO components showed a single peak at 3 years postoperatively, while patients with the absence of GGO components showed a double peak at 1 and 5 years after surgery, respectively. However, the risk of tumor-related death peaked in both groups at 3 and 6 years postoperatively. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that the presence of a GGO component was a favorable independent risk factor for pathological stage IA3 lung adenocarcinoma patients (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Pathological stage IA3 lung adenocarcinoma with or without GGO components are two types of tumors with different invasive abilities. In clinical practice, we should develop different treatment and follow-up strategies.
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