It is very important for power grid development research and related technical improvement to obtain the disaster situation of fine-scale distribution network, such as the transportation condition evaluation of distribution network and the wind waterlogging disaster prediction of distribution network. Among them, the wind waterlogging disaster prediction of distribution network is the main one, and the prediction of its disaster degree often determines whether the distribution network can be prevented before and rescued after the disaster. Therefore, in view of the above problems, combined with the actual transmission situation of the distribution network, after collecting the measured disaster data of the distribution network in relevant areas, combined with the multi-source data fusion technology and neural network modeling technology, this paper analyzes the disaster degree indicators of different distribution networks and constructs the relevant fuzzy matrix through the fuzzy theory to evaluate the disaster degree, which is verified by the measured data. This distribution network disaster loss prediction model can effectively implement the disaster loss prediction of distribution network and compare its prediction results with the other two different common models. The comparison results show that the prediction accuracy of the multi-source data fusion prediction model constructed in this paper is more than 0.95 compared with the other two models, while the prediction accuracy of the other two models is not more than 0.9, which proves that the model constructed in this paper has smaller errors. It has the advantages of higher accuracy and faster convergence speed.
Because most of the production and transmission components of the power system are exposed to the natural environment, they are vulnerable to the threat of natural disasters for a long time and the resulting circuit damage is also large. With the improvement of people’s living standards and the improvement of electricity demand, more and more attention has been paid to the normal operation of the power system. Improving the disaster resistance ability of the power system is an important prerequisite to ensure the national economy and life. In view of the above problems, in order to solve and improve the power supply recovery ability of the distribution network in the face of various disasters, this paper focuses on the analysis of the disaster response stage of the intelligent distribution network under natural disasters and the comprehensive data and related indicators of the power grid system, so as to establish the evaluation index system of the power grid's predisaster tolerance and postdisaster resilience and, through the introduction of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation theory, quantifying the disaster response capability of the distribution network. Finally, through the introduction of case analysis, the case results show that the intelligent distribution network disaster response ability evaluation algorithm based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation constructed in this paper can accurately calculate the disaster response ability of the distribution network and has an important guiding role in the disaster prevention and reduction of the distribution network.
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