Background Infant mortality is defined as the death of a child at any time after birth and before the child’s first birthday. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest infant and child mortality rate in the world. Infant and child mortality rates are higher in Ethiopia. A study was carried out to estimate the risk factors that affect infant mortality in Ethiopia. Method The EDHS− 2016 data set was used for this study. A total of 10,547 mothers from 11 regions were included in the study’s findings. To estimate the risk factors associated with infant mortality in Ethiopia, several count models (Poisson, Negative Binomial, Zero-Infated Poisson, Zero-Infated Negative Binomial, Hurdle Poisson, and Hurdle Negative Binomial) were considered. Result The average number of infant deaths was 0.526, with a variance of 0.994, indicating over-dispersion. The highest mean number of infant death occurred in Somali (0.69) and the lowest in Addis Ababa (0.089). Among the multilevel log linear models, the ZINB regression model with deviance (17,868.74), AIC (17,938.74), and BIC (1892.97) are chosen as the best model for estimating the risk factors affecting infant mortality in Ethiopia. However, the results of a multilevel ZINB model with a random intercept and slope model revealed that residence, mother’s age, household size, mother’s age at first birth, breast feeding, child weight, contraceptive use, birth order, wealth index, father education level, and birth interval are associated with infant mortality in Ethiopia. Conclusion Infant deaths remains high and infant deaths per mother differ across regions. An optimal fit was found to the data based on a multilevel ZINB model. We suggest fitting the ZINB model to count data with excess zeros originating from unknown sources such as infant mortality.
Background Tetanus is a deadly bacterial infection caused by Clostridium tetani wound contamination characterized muscular spasms and autonomic nervous system dysfunction. Maternal and neonatal tetanus occurs under improper hygiene practices during childbirth. Globally, an estimated 3.3 million newborn deaths occur every year, and about 9,000 babies die every day in the first 28 days of life. This study sought to identify risk factors associated with the immunization of rural women against tetanus in rural areas in ten East African countries. Method The data used in this study were taken from the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of ten East African countries (Ethiopia, Burundi, Comoros, Zimbabwe, Kenya, Malawi, Ruanda, Tanzania, Uganda and, Zambia). Multivariable binary logistic regression is used to determine the risk factors associated with tetanus-protected women in east Africa. Results The weighted total samples of 73735 rural women were included in the analysis. The combined prevalence of tetanus immunization among protected rural women in ten East African countries was 50.4%. Those women with age of 24–34 (AOR = 0.778; 95%CI: 0.702–0.861), higher educational level (AOR = 4.010; 95%CI: 2.10–5.670), rich women (AOR = 3.097;95%CI: 2.680–3.583), mass media coverage (AOR = 1.143; 95%CI: 1.030–1.269), having above three antenatal care follow up (AOR = 1.550; 95% CI: 1.424–1.687), big problem of distance to health facility (AOR = 0.676; CI: 0.482–0.978) and place of delivery health facility (AOR = 1.103; 95% CI: 1.005–1.210) had a significant effect on women’s protected from tetanus. Conclusion The coverage of tetanus immunization in East Africa was very low. Public health programs target rural mothers who are uneducated, poor households, longer distances from health facilities, mothers who have the problem of media exposure, and mothers who have not used maternal health care services to promote TT immunization.
Introduction. The primary effect of the fertility process is the birth of the first child. The ages at which women establish marital union and give their first birth depend on and result in varying demographic features. This research demonstrates how to examine the effect of numerous factors on married women’s delay to first birth in Ethiopia using Bayesian parametric models with gamma shared frailty distribution. Methods. This study analyzed data from the 2016 EDHS on factors related to the time of married women to first birth. A sample of 8810 married women from all parts of Ethiopia participated in the study. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to compare several parametric models with gamma shared frailty distributions to find the best model (BIC). Finally, when the prior data was taken into account, the chosen model was proven to be accurate (Bayesian approach). Results. The median survival time for the first birth after marriage is 24 years (95% CI; 23.4, 25.3). The result shows that the place of residence, the access to media, the level of education of the mother, the education level of the husband, the use of the head of the contraceptives, and the sex of the household are statistically associated with the time to first birth of married women. The Weibull-gamma shared frailty model under the Bayesian approach was found to be the best model that fit the time to first birth data in this study. The result also showed that there is heterogeneity between regions of married women. Conclusion. To slow the increase in the Ethiopian population, families must be taught how to use contraception, and rural populations must be educated on the necessity of increasing the length of the first birth gap rather than encouraging early marriage. In general, attempts to reduce fertility by raising the age of the first marriage must consider the social and cultural settings in which marriage takes place. On the other hand, the campaign against early marriage should focus on the sociocultural, physiological, and psychological effects, as well as the reduction of reproduction.
In Ethiopia, community-based health insurance was implemented to promote equitable access to sustainable quality health care and increase financial protection. The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with community-based Health Insurance, Health Care Service Utilization of Households in the South Gondar Zone. A community-based cross-sectional study was employed. Data were collected among 619 randomly selected households in the south Gondar zone. Chi-square and binary logistic regression analyses with a P-Value of less than .05 were used to determine the association. Out of the total households, 511(82.6%) were using the CBHI scheme for health care service utilization. Residence, marital status, education level, occupation status, family size, presence of under-five children in the household, presence of elders in the households, nearest health institution, presence of chronic illness in the household’s, time taken to reach health institution, an attitude of a household were the determinant factors of community-based health insurance scheme health care service utilization of households. It is recommended that the local, regional and national governments, policymakers on optimal actions, NGOs, and other supporting organizations shall improve or scale-up the scheme by providing awareness to the community based on these significant factors and the attitude of households.
Background. Heart failure is a progressive condition marked by worsening symptoms such as shortness of breath, coughing, exhaustion and lethargy, fluid retention with swelling of the legs and abdomen, and a reduced ability to exercise. As a result, this study aims to use a joint model application to determine the joint risk factors of longitudinal change in pulse rate and time to death of congestive heart failure patients and their association admitted to a hospital. Methods. A retrospective study was undertaken on congestive heart failure patients admitted to the Debre Tabor Referral Hospital from January 2016 to December 2019. A statistical joint modeling strategy was employed to match the repeated biomarker pulse rate and a survival outcome at the same time. A total of 271 patients with congestive heart failure were chosen. Data were analyzed with R statistical software via joineRML. Results. According to the findings, the association between longitudinal changes in pulse rate and time to death in heart failure patients is statistically significant. Sex, residence, left ventricular injection fraction, New York Heart Association class, and diabetes mellitus were all found to be significant risk factors for congestive heart failure patients’ short survival time to death. Age, sex, residence, hypertension, left ventricular injection fraction, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, tuberculosis, and etiology were all significant contributors in pulse rate progression. Conclusion. The computed association parameters revealed subject-specific values. The subject-specific linear time slope of PR measurement was positively related to the hazard rate of time to death of CHF patients in the study area. To reduce the risk level of CHF, health professionals, governmental organizations, and nongovernmental organizations must promote and allocate a suitable amount of budget for the treatment of CHF patients.
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