Studying small repeating earthquakes enables better understanding of fault physics and characterization of fault friction properties. Some of the nearby repeating sequences appear to interact, such as the 'San Francisco' and 'Los Angeles' repeaters on the creeping section of the San Andreas Fault. It is typically assumed that such interactions are induced by static stress changes due to coseismic slip. Here we present a study of the interaction of repeating earthquakes in the framework of rate-and-state fault models using state-of-the-art simulation methods that reproduce both realistic seismic events and long-term earthquake sequences. Our simulations enable comparison among several types of stress transfer that occur between the repeating events. Our major finding is that postseismic creep dominates the interaction, with earthquake triggering occurring at distances much larger than typically assumed. Our results open a possibility of using interaction of repeating sequences to constrain friction properties of creeping segments.
Repeating earthquake sequences have been actively investigated to clarify many aspects of earthquake physics. The two particularly well‐studied sequences, known as the Los Angeles and San Francisco repeaters, have several intriguing observations, including their long (for the seismic moment) recurrence times that would suggest stress drops of 300 MPa based on typical assumptions, near‐syncronized timing prior to 2004, and higher than typical inferred stress drops (of 25 to 65 MPa, up to 90 MPa locally), but not as high as the recurrence times suggest. Here we show that all these observations are self‐consistent, in the sense that they can be reproduced in a single fault model. The suitable models build on the standard rate‐and‐state fault models, with velocity‐weakening patches imbedded into a velocity‐strengthening region, by adding either enhanced dynamic weakening during seismic slip or elevated normal stress on the patches, or both, to allow for the higher stress drops. Such models are able to match the observed average properties of the San Francisco and Los Angeles repeaters, as well as the overall nontrivial scaling between the recurrence time and seismic moment exhibited by many repeating sequences as a whole, for reasonable parameter choices based on experiments and theoretical studies. These models are characterized by the occurrence of substantial and variable aseismic slip at the locations of the repeating sources, which explains their atypical relation between recurrence interval and seismic moment, induces variability in the repeating source properties as observed, and results in their neither slip‐ nor time‐predictable behavior.
The evolving state of fault stress during and after the perturbation of fluid pressure gives rise to an intriguing interplay of seismic and aseismic slip on the fault. A better understanding of the possible role of fluids in the triggering mechanism of seismicity is pivotal to effective seismic hazard mitigation, particularly in the context of induced seismicity. Through numerical modeling, we investigate the effect of pore pressure perturbations on the spatio‐temporal evolution of fault slip and the modulation of earthquake cycles. Pressure perturbations are imposed at different magnitudes and different times during a selected interseismic period. Results show a wide range of aseismic responses which can lead to both time advancement and delay of subsequent earthquakes. Specifically, even pressure perturbation <5% of the average event stress drop can trigger aseismic slip that leads to considerable time delay in the next earthquake even when perturbation occurs late in the interseismic period. We find that earthquakes that are delayed in time are associated with large aseismic moment release. Our study highlights the importance of close monitoring of aseismic fault slip in regions prone to the influence of pore fluids and provides physical insights into identifying critical aseismic responses associated with certain triggering outcomes.
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