Demand forecasting is one of the main issues of supply chains. It aimed to optimize stocks, reduce costs, and increase sales, profit, and customer loyalty. For this purpose, historical data can be analyzed to improve demand forecasting by using various methods like machine learning techniques, time series analysis, and deep learning models. In this work, an intelligent demand forecasting system is developed. This improved model is based on the analysis and interpretation of the historical data by using different forecasting methods which include time series analysis techniques, support vector regression algorithm, and deep learning models. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to blend the deep learning methodology, support vector regression algorithm, and different time series analysis models by a novel decision integration strategy for demand forecasting approach. The other novelty of this work is the adaptation of boosting ensemble strategy to demand forecasting system by implementing a novel decision integration model. The developed system is applied and tested on real life data obtained from SOK Market in Turkey which operates as a fast-growing company with 6700 stores, 1500 products, and 23 distribution centers. A wide range of comparative and extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed demand forecasting system exhibits noteworthy results compared to the state-of-art studies. Unlike the state-of-art studies, inclusion of support vector regression, deep learning model, and a novel integration strategy to the proposed forecasting system ensures significant accuracy improvement.
The use of ensemble learning, deep learning, and effective document representation methods is currently some of the most common trends to improve the overall accuracy of a text classification/categorization system. Ensemble learning is an approach to raise the overall accuracy of a classification system by utilizing multiple classifiers. Deep learning-based methods provide better results in many applications when compared with the other conventional machine learning algorithms. Word embeddings enable representation of words learned from a corpus as vectors that provide a mapping of words with similar meaning to have similar representation. In this study, we use different document representations with the benefit of word embeddings and an ensemble of base classifiers for text classification. The ensemble of base classifiers includes traditional machine learning algorithms such as naïve Bayes, support vector machine, and random forest and a deep learning-based conventional network classifier. We analysed the classification accuracy of different document representations by employing an ensemble of classifiers on eight different datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the usage of heterogeneous ensembles together with deep learning methods and word embeddings enhances the classification performance of texts.
Çakırman, Erhan (Dogus Author) -- Ganiz, Murat C. (Dogus Author) -- Akyokuş, Selim (Dogus Author) -- Gürbüz, Mustafa Z. (Dogus Author) -- Conference full title: 2011 International Symposium on Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications (INISTA 2011) Istanbul, Turkey, 15 - 18 June 2011Preprocessing is an important task and critical step in information retrieval and text mining. The objective of this study is to analyze the effect of preprocessing methods in text classification on Turkish texts. We compiled two large datasets from Turkish newspapers using a crawler. On these compiled data sets and using two additional datasets, we perform a detailed analysis of preprocessing methods such as stemming, stopword filtering and word weighting for Turkish text classification on several different Turkish datasets. We report the results of extensive experiments.TUBITAK, IEE
Human activity recognition is a challenging problem with many applications including visual surveillance, human-computer interactions, autonomous driving and entertainment. In this study, we propose a hybrid deep model to understand and interpret videos focusing on human activity recognition. The proposed architecture is constructed combining dense optical flow approach and auxiliary movement information in video datasets using deep learning methodologies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study based on a novel combination of 3D-convolutional neural networks (3D-CNNs) fed by optical flow and long short-term memory networks (LSTM) fed by auxiliary information over video frames for the purpose of human activity recognition. The contributions of this paper are sixfold. First, a 3D-CNN, also called multiple frames is employed to determine the motion vectors. With the same purpose, the 3D-CNN is secondly used for dense optical flow, which is the distribution of apparent velocities of movement in captured imagery data in video frames. Third, the LSTM is employed as auxiliary information in video to recognize hand-tracking and objects. Fourth, the support vector machine algorithm is utilized for the task of classification of videos. Fifth, a wide range of comparative experiments are conducted on two newly generated chess datasets, namely the magnetic wall chess board video dataset (MCDS), and standard chess board video dataset (CDS) to demonstrate the contributions of the proposed study. Finally, the experimental results reveal that the proposed hybrid deep model exhibits remarkable performance compared to the state-of-the-art studies.
Tutkan, Melike (Dogus Author) -- Akyokuş, Selim (Dogus Author)One of the important problems in text classification is the high dimensionality of the feature space. Feature selection methods are used to reduce the dimensionality of the feature space by selecting the most valuable features for classification. Apart from reducing the dimensionality, feature selection methods have potential to improve text classifiers' performance both in terms of accuracy and time. Furthermore, it helps to build simpler and as a result more comprehensible models. In this study we propose new methods for feature selection from textual data, called Meaning Based Feature Selection (MBFS) which is based on the Helmholtz principle from the Gestalt theory of human perception which is used in image processing. The proposed approaches are extensively evaluated by their effect on the classification performance of two well-known classifiers on several datasets and compared with several feature selection algorithms commonly used in text mining. Our results demonstrate the value of the MBFS methods in terms of classification accuracy and execution time
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