Background Extubation failure is an important issue in ventilated patients and its risk factors remain a matter of research. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore factors associated with extubation failure in ventilated patients who passed a spontaneous breathing trial and underwent planned extubation. This systematic review was registered in PROPERO with the Registration ID CRD42019137003. Methods We searched the PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Controlled Register of Trials for studies published from January 1998 to December 2018. We included observational studies involving risk factors associated with extubation failure in adult intensive care unit patients who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed the validity of included studies. Results Sixty-seven studies (involving 26,847 participants) met the inclusion criteria and were included in our meta-analysis. We analyzed 49 variables and, among them, we identified 26 factors significantly associated with extubation failure. Risk factors were distributed into three domains (comorbidities, acute disease severity and characteristics at time of extubation) involving mainly three functions (circulatory, respiratory and neurological). Among these, the physiological respiratory characteristics at time of extubation were the most represented. The individual topic of secretion management was the one with the largest number of variables. By Bayesian multivariable meta-analysis, twelve factors were significantly associated with extubation failure: age, history of cardiac disease, history of respiratory disease, Simplified Acute Physiologic Score II score, pneumonia, duration of mechanical ventilation, heart rate, Rapid Shallow Breathing Index, negative inspiratory force, lower PaO2/FiO2 ratio, lower hemoglobin level and lower Glasgow Coma Scale before extubation, with the latest factor having the strongest association with extubation outcome. Conclusions Numerous factors are associated with extubation failure in critically ill patients who have passed a spontaneous breathing trial. Robust multiparametric clinical scores and/or artificial intelligence algorithms should be tested based on the selected independent variables in order to improve the prediction of extubation outcome in the clinical scenario.
Purpose Hypercapnia is frequent during mechanical ventilation for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), but its effects on morbidity and mortality are still controversial. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore clinical consequences of acute hypercapnia in adult patients ventilated for ARDS. Methods We searched Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library via the OVID platform for studies published from 1946 to 2021. “Permissive hypercapnia” defined hypercapnia in studies where the group with hypercapnia was ventilated with a protective ventilation (PV) strategy (lower V T targeting 6 ml/kg predicted body weight) while the group without hypercapnia was managed with a non-protective ventilation (NPV); “imposed hypercapnia” defined hypercapnia in studies where hypercapnic and non-hypercapnic patients were managed with a similar ventilation strategy. Results Twenty-nine studies (10,101 patients) were included. Permissive hypercapnia, imposed hypercapnia under PV, and imposed hypercapnia under NPV were reported in 8, 21 and 1 study, respectively. Studies testing permissive hypercapnia reported lower mortality in hypercapnic patients receiving PV as compared to non-hypercapnic patients receiving NPV: OR = 0.26, 95% CI [0.07–0.89]. By contrast, studies reporting imposed hypercapnia under PV reported increased mortality in hypercapnic patients receiving PV as compared to non-hypercapnic patients also receiving PV: OR = 1.54, 95% CI [1.15–2.07]. There was a significant interaction between the mechanism of hypercapnia and the effect on mortality. Conclusions Clinical effects of hypercapnia are conflicting depending on its mechanism. Permissive hypercapnia was associated with improved mortality contrary to imposed hypercapnia under PV, suggesting a major role of PV strategy on the outcome. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00134-022-06640-1.
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