Supercooled Stefan problems describe the evolution of the boundary between the solid and liquid phases of a substance, where the liquid is assumed to be cooled below its freezing point. Following the methodology of Delarue, Nadtochiy and Shkolnikov, we construct solutions to the one-phase one-dimensional supercooled Stefan problem through a certain McKean-Vlasov equation, which allows to define global solutions even in the presence of blow-ups. Solutions to the McKean-Vlasov equation arise as mean-field limits of particle systems interacting through hitting times, which is important for systemic risk modeling. Our main contributions are: (i) we prove a general tightness theorem for the Skorokhod M 1 -topology which applies to processes that can be decomposed into a continuous and a monotone part. (ii) We prove propagation of chaos for a perturbed version of the particle system for general initial conditions. (iii) We prove a conjecture of Delarue, Nadtochiy and Shkolnikov, relating the solution concepts of so-called minimal and physical solutions, showing that minimal solutions of the McKean-Vlasov equation are physical whenever the initial condition is integrable.

We introduce a class of probability measure-valued diffusions, coined polynomial, of which the well-known Fleming-Viot process is a particular example. The defining property of finite dimensional polynomial processes considered by Cuchiero et al. (2012); Filipović and Larsson (2016) is transferred to this infinite dimensional setting. This leads to a representation of conditional marginal moments via a finite dimensional linear PDE, whose spatial dimension corresponds to the degree of the moment. As a result, the tractability of finite dimensional polynomial processes are preserved in this setting. We also obtain a representation of the corresponding extended generators, and prove well-posedness of the associated martingale problems. In particular, uniqueness is obtained from the duality relationship with the PDEs mentioned above.

Polynomial jump-diffusions constitute a class of tractable stochastic models with wide applicability in areas such as mathematical finance and population genetics. We provide a full parameterization of polynomial jump-diffusions on the unit simplex under natural structural hypotheses on the jumps. As a stepping stone, we characterize wellposedness of the martingale problem for polynomial operators on general compact state spaces.

We introduce and analyse infinite dimensional Wishart processes taking values in the cone S + 1 (H) of positive self-adjoint trace class operators on a separable real Hilbert space H. Our main result gives necessary and sufficient conditions for their existence, showing that these processes are necessarily of fixed finite rank almost surely, but they are not confined to a finite-dimensional subspace of S + 1 (H). By providing explicit solutions to operator valued Riccati equations, we prove that their Fourier-Laplace transform is exponentially affine in the initial value. As a corollary, we obtain uniqueness in law as well as the Markov property. We actually show the explicit form of the Fourier-Laplace transform for a wide parameter regime, thereby also extending what is known in the finite-dimensional setting. Finally, under minor conditions on the parameters we prove the Feller property with respect to a slight refinement of the weak- * -topology on S + 1 (H). Applications of our results range from tractable infinite-dimensional covariance modelling to the analysis of the limit spectrum of large random matrices.

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