In the current state of maturity of severe accident codes, the time has come to foster the systematic application of Best Estimate Plus Uncertainties (BEPU) in this domain. The overall objective of the HORIZON-2020 project on “Management and Uncertainties of Severe Accidents (MUSA)” is to quantify the uncertainties of severe accident codes (e.g., ASTEC, MAAP, MELCOR, and AC2) when modeling reactor and spent fuel pools accident scenarios of Gen II and Gen III reactor designs for the prediction of the radiological source term. To do so, different Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methodologies are to be used for the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis. Innovative AM measures will be considered in performing these UQ analyses, in addition to initial/boundary conditions and model parameters, to assess their impact on the source term prediction. This paper synthesizes the major pillars and the overall structure of the MUSA project, as well as the expectations and the progress made over the first year and a half of operation.
The GRS program package AC2 with its codes ATHLET/ATHLET-CD and COCOSYS aims for the reliable computational simulation of significant phenomena occurring during normal operation, design basis accidents, and severe accidents in the cooling circuit and containment of a nuclear power plant. To keep the modelling at the state-of-the-art, continuous development and validation is required. This is accomplished through participation in several national and international experimental research programs, where AC2 or one of its codes are assessed against both separate effect tests and integral tests. This paper exemplifies the status of validation and application of COCOSYS by means of calculations of iodine chemistry and molten corium/concrete interaction after reactor pressure vessel rupture. Further, calculations using the external 3D module CoPool coupled to COCOSYS on thermal stratification in large water pools are discussed. The examples given demonstrate the progress of the COCOSYS development and the capability to simulate phenomena in the containment during incidents and accidents with good results. Future applications comprise the entire spectrum of incidents and accidents for Generation III/III+ systems with just one program package.
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