Short-term traffic parameter forecasting is critical to modern urban traffic management and control systems. Predictive accuracy in data-driven traffic models is reduced when exposed to non-recurring or non-routine traffic events, such as accidents, road closures, and extreme weather conditions. The analytical mining of data from social networksspecifically twittercan improve urban traffic parameter prediction by complementing traffic data with data representing events capable of disrupting regular traffic patterns reported in social media posts. This paper proposes a deep learning urban traffic prediction model that combines information extracted from tweet messages with traffic and weather information. The predictive model adopts a deep Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) stacked autoencoder (SAE) architecture for multi-step traffic flow prediction trained using tweets, traffic and weather datasets. The model is evaluated on an urban road network in Greater Manchester, United Kingdom. The findings from extensive empirical analysis using real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach in improving prediction accuracy when compared to other classical/statistical and machine learning (ML) state-of-the-art models. The improvement in predictive accuracy can lead to reduced frustration for road users, cost savings for businesses, and less harm to the environment.
Traffic parameter forecasting is critical to effective traffic management but is a challenging task due to the stochasticity of traffic flow characteristics, especially in urban road networks. Traffic networks can be affected by external factors, such as weather, events, accidents, and road construction networks. The impact of these factors can affect traffic flow parameters by influencing travel time, density, and operating speed. Although deep neural networks (DNNs) have recently shown promising signs in traffic prediction using big data, there still exists the issue of maximizing the use of the model capabilities by using big data sources. This paper proposes an improved urban traffic speed prediction approach involving input-level data fusion and deep learning. Motivated by deep learning prediction methods, we propose a Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM-NN) for traffic speed prediction that combines traffic and weather datasets on an urban road network in Greater Manchester, United Kingdom. The experimental results substantiate the value of the approach when compared to the use of traffic-only data sources for traffic speed prediction.
SUMMARYObject database management systems (ODBMSs) are now established as the database management technology of choice for a range of challenging data intensive applications. Furthermore, the applications associated with object databases typically have stringent performance requirements, and some are associated with very large data sets. An important feature for the performance of object databases is the speed at which relationships can be explored. In queries, this depends on the effectiveness of different join algorithms into which queries that follow relationships can be compiled. This paper presents a performance evaluation of the Polar parallel object database system, focusing in particular on the performance of parallel join algorithms. Polar is a parallel, shared-nothing implementation of the Object Database Management Group (ODMG) standard for object databases. The paper presents an empirical evaluation of queries expressed in the ODMG Query Language (OQL), as well as a cost model for the parallel algebra that is used to evaluate OQL queries. The cost model is validated against the empirical results for a collection of queries using four different join algorithms, one that is value based and three that are pointer based.
This paper focuses on quantifying the effect of rainfall and temperature intensities on urban traffic characteristics in peak and off-peak respectively hours using traffic data from Greater Manchester, UK, as a case study. Three broader issues are addressed: (1) the impact of rainfall on urban traffic; (2) the impact of rainfall intensity on traffic flow parameters at both peak and off-peak periods; (3) the impact of atmospheric temperature level on peak and off-peak urban traffic. Our contribution arises both from the combination of data sources included in the study as well as the separate analyses of peak and off-peak weather effects on traffic. This is the first study undertaken in a real urban environment with reduced operating speed (30mph). This research can provide urban traffic policymakers with crucial information that can be used to modify or develop traffic planning decisions in order to maximize the traffic network utilization.
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