The European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE) is a commonly used risk score for operative mortality following cardiac surgery. We aimed to conduct a systematic review of the performance of the additive and logistic EuroSCORE. A literature search resulted in 67 articles. Studies applying the EuroSCORE on patients undergoing cardiac surgery and which reported early mortality were included. Weighted meta-regression showed that the EuroSCORE overestimated mortality. However, this performance depended on the risk profile of patients: in high-risk patients, the additive model actually underestimated mortality. Discriminative performance was good. Given the poor predictive performance, the EuroSCORE may not be suitable as a tool for patient selection nor for benchmarking.
The course of early mortality after cardiac surgery differs across interventions and continues up to ∼120 days. Thirty-day mortality reflects only a part of early mortality after cardiac surgery and should only be used for benchmarking of isolated CABG procedures. The follow-up should be prolonged to capture early mortality of all types of interventions.
In this review we discuss cardiovascular mortality, incidence and prevalence of heart disease, and cardiac interventions and surgery in the Netherlands. We combined most recently available data from various Dutch cardiovascular registries, Dutch Hospital Data (LMR), Statistics Netherlands (CBS), and population-based cohort studies, to provide a broad quantitative update. The absolute number of people dying from cardiovascular diseases is declining and cardiovascular conditions are no longer the leading cause of death in the Netherlands. However, a substantial burden of morbidity persists with 400,000 hospitalisations for cardiovascular disease involving over 80,000 cardiac interventions annually. In the Netherlands alone, an estimated 730,000 persons are currently diagnosed with coronary heart disease, 120,000 with heart failure, and 260,000 with atrial fibrillation. These numbers emphasise the continuous need for dedicated research on prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of heart disease in our country.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s12471-013-0504-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
The results of this study provide a comprehensive overview of valve surgery trends and outcomes in Netherlands. The number of heart valve operations performed in Netherlands has increased since 1995. The significant decrease in mortality and unchanged EuroSCORE between 2007 and 2010 might reflect a general improvement of the safety of valve surgery.
Despite advanced cardiac morbidity at the time of operation, early postoperative survival was 90%. Long-term survival of patients with carcinoid heart disease undergoing valve replacement is determined by carcinoid progression. The surviving patients had a persistent improvement in functional capacity without valve-related complications of the mechanical prosthesis.
In 2007 The Netherlands Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery (Nederlandse Vereniging voor Thoraxchirurgie, NVT) instituted the Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. The dataset comprises demographic factors, type of intervention, in-hospital mortality and 18 risk factors for mortality after cardiac surgery, according to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation definitions. Currently, this procedural database contains over 60 000 interventions. Completeness of data is excellent and national coverage of all 16 Dutch cardio-thoracic surgery centres has been achieved since the start. The primary goal of the database is to control and maintain the quality of care by evaluation of outcomes. This is accomplished by regular feedback and comparison of outcomes. For a subset of the database (procedures from 10 out of 16 centres) longer-term follow-up has been established by means of data linkage to two national registries. This provides information on survival status, causes of death and readmissions. The database has recently been used for research, resulting in methodological papers aimed at optimizing comparison of outcomes. In future, clinical issues will also be addressed, for example survival after coronary artery bypass grafting and valve surgery.
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