FourCastNet, short for Fourier ForeCasting Neural Network, is a global data-driven weather forecasting model that provides accurate short to medium-range global predictions at 0.25 • resolution. FourCastNet accurately forecasts high-resolution, fast-timescale variables such as the surface wind speed, precipitation, and atmospheric water vapor. It has important implications for planning wind energy resources, predicting extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones, extra-tropical cyclones, and atmospheric rivers. FourCastNet matches the forecasting accuracy of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), a state-of-the-art Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model, at short lead times for large-scale variables, while outperforming IFS for small-scale variables, including precipitation. FourCastNet generates a week-long forecast in less than 2 seconds, orders of magnitude faster than IFS. The speed of FourCastNet enables the creation of rapid and inexpensive large-ensemble forecasts with thousands of ensemble-members for improving probabilistic forecasting. We discuss how data-driven deep learning models such as FourCastNet are a valuable addition to the meteorology toolkit to aid and augment NWP models.
Future computation of cloud datacenter resource usage is a provoking task due to dynamic and Business Critic workloads. Accurate prediction of cloud resource utilization through historical observation facilitates, effectively aligning the task with resources, estimating the capacity of a cloud server, applying intensive auto-scaling and controlling resource usage. As imprecise prediction of resources leads to either low or high provisioning of resources in the cloud. This paper focuses on solving this problem in a more proactive way. Most of the existing prediction models are based on a mono pattern of workload which is not suitable for handling peculiar workloads. The researchers address this problem by making use of a contemporary model to dynamically analyze the CPU utilization, so as to precisely estimate data center CPU utilization. The proposed design makes use of an Ensemble Random Forest-Long Short Term Memory based deep architectural models for resource estimation. This design preprocesses and trains data based on historical observation. The approach is analyzed by using a real cloud data set. The empirical interpretation depicts that the proposed design outperforms the previous approaches as it bears 30%–60% enhanced accuracy in resource utilization.
In the monitoring of a complex electric grid, it is of paramount importance to provide operators with early warnings of anomalies detected on the network, along with a precise classification and diagnosis of the specific fault type. In this paper, we propose a novel multi-stage early warning system prototype for electric grid fault detection, classification, subgroup discovery, and visualization. In the first stage, a computationally efficient anomaly detection method based on quartiles detects the presence of a fault in real time. In the second stage, the fault is classified into one of nine predefined disaster scenarios. The time series data are first mapped to highly discriminative features by applying dimensionality reduction based on temporal autocorrelation. The features are then mapped through one of three classification techniques: support vector machine, random forest, and artificial neural network. Finally in the third stage, intra-class clustering based on dynamic time warping is used to characterize the fault with further granularity. Results on the Bonneville Power Administration electric grid data show that i) the proposed anomaly detector is both fast and accurate; ii) dimensionality reduction leads to dramatic improvement in classification accuracy and speed; iii) the random forest method offers the most accurate, consistent, and robust fault classification; and iv) time series within a given class naturally separate into five distinct clusters which correspond closely to the geographical distribution of electric grid buses.
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