The aim of this analysis was to determine the influence of lifestyle, anthropometric and reproductive factors on the subsequent risk of incident vertebral fracture in men and women aged 50-79 years. Subjects were recruited from population registers from 28 centers across Europe. At baseline, they completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire and had lateral thoraco-lumbar spine radiographs performed. Repeat spinal radiographs were performed a mean of 3.8 years later. Incident vertebral fractures were defined morphometrically and also qualitatively by an experienced radiologist. Poisson regression was used to determine the influence of the baseline risk factor variables on the occurrence of incident vertebral fracture. A total of 3173 men (mean age 63.1 years) and 3402 women (mean age 62.2 years) contributed data to the analysis. In total there were 193 incident morphometric and 224 qualitative fractures. In women, an age at menarche 16 years or older was associated with an increased risk of vertebral fracture (RR = 1.80; 95%CI 1.24, 2.63), whilst use of hormonal replacement was protective (RR = 0.58; 95%CI 0.34, 0.99). None of the lifestyle factors studied including smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity or milk consumption showed any consistent associations with incident vertebral fracture. In men and women, increasing body weight and body mass index were associated with a reduced risk of vertebral fracture though, apart from body mass index in men, the confidence intervals embraced unity. For most variables the strengths of the associations observed were similar using the qualitative and morphometric approaches to fracture definition. In conclusion our data suggest that modification of other lifestyle risk factors is unlikely to have a major impact on the population occurrence of vertebral fractures. The important biological mechanisms underlying vertebral fracture risk need to be explored using new investigational strategies.

The presence of a vertebral deformity increases the risk of subsequent spinal deformities. The aim of this analysis was to determine whether the presence of vertebral deformity predicts incident hip and other limb fractures. Six thousand three hundred and forty-four men and 6788 women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 31 European centers and followed prospectively for a median of 3 years. All subjects had radiographs performed at baseline and the presence of vertebral deformity was assessed using established morphometric methods. Incident limb fractures which occurred during the follow- up period were ascertained by annual postal questionnaire and confirmed by radiographs, review of medical records and personal interview. During a total of 40348 person-years of follow-up, 138 men and 391 women sustained a limb fracture. Amongst the women, after adjustment for age, prevalent vertebral deformity was a strong predictor of incident hip fracture, (rate ratio (RR) = 4.5; 95% CI 2.1-9.4) and a weak predictor of 'other' limb fractures (RR = 1.6; 95% CI 1.1-2.4), though not distal forearm fracture (RR = 1.0; 95% CI 0.6-1.6). The predictive risk increased with increasing number of prevalent deformities, particularly for subsequent hip fracture: for two or more deformities, RR = 7.2 (95% CI 3.0-17.3). Amongst men, vertebral deformity was not associated with an increased risk of incident limb fracture though there was a nonsignificant trend toward an increased risk of hip fracture with increasing number of deformities. In summary, prevalent radiographic vertebral deformities in women are a strong predictor of hip fracture, and to a lesser extent humerus and 'other' limb fractures; however, they do not predict distal forearm fractures.

No abstract

A total of 94 patients with juvenile chronic arthritis (JCA) was tested for HLA class I by serology and for class II by RFLP typing. Early onset JCA (EOPA) is associated with HLA-A2, DR5 and DR8 in both males and females. The combination (joint occurrence) of these JCA associated alleles (A2, DR5, DR8) is frequently seen in patients with chronic iridocyclitis. Late onset pauciarticular disease has an increased frequency of HLA-B27, especially in males. Our data confirm that polyarticular JCA with early childhood onset (< or = 4 years) is associated with DR5 and DR8 and has a different immunogenetic background from polyarticular JCA with later childhood (> 4 years) onset (associated with DR4).

Restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) typing of MHC-class II loci DRB, DQA1, DQB1, DQA2 and DPB1 was performed in 94 patients with seronegative juvenile chronic arthritis (JCA) and 184 random controls. Analysis of allele frequencies and MHC-class II 4-loci haplotypes indicate: (1) Susceptibility to JCA is more strongly associated with the HLA-DQ subregion than with the HLA-DR subregion, especially in early onset pauciarticular JCA (EOPA-JCA). (2) Haplotype and sequence analysis show two independent MHC-class II associations for susceptibility to EOPA-JCA, one located in DQA1, the other in DPB1. (3) Two RFLP defined patterns of the DQA1 locus, DQA1.5 (DQA1*0501) and DQA1.8 (DQA1*0401, *0601) are strongly associated with the disease. (4) Analysis of amino-acid (AA) sequences coded in exon 2 of DQA1 reveals an AA sequence of six AAs common to all three associated DQA1 alleles. This suggests a model that includes a functional role for HLA-DQ molecules in the pathogenesis of JCA.