Background Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a variability of mortality rates in the literature. Objective To determine the mortality and its predictors in a long-term follow-up of a bi-centric cohort of SSc patients. Methods A retrospective observational study by systematically analyzing the medical records of patients diagnosed with SSc in Toulouse University Hospital and Ducuing Hospital. Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR), mortality at 1, 3, 5, 10, and 15 years of disease and causes of death were described. Predictors of mortality using Cox regression were assessed. Results Three hundred seventy-five patients were included: 63 with diffuse cutaneous SSc, 279 with limited cutaneous SSc, and 33 with sine scleroderma. The SMR ratio was 1.88 (95% CI 1.46–1.97). The overall survival rates were 97.6% at 1 year, 93.4% at 3 years, 87.1% at 5 years, 77.9% at 10 years, and 61.3% at 15 years. Sixty-nine deaths were recorded. 46.4% were SSc related deaths secondary to interstitial lung disease (ILD) (34.4%), pulmonary hypertension (31.2%), and digestive tract involvement (18.8%). 53.6% were non-related to SSc: cardiovascular disorders (37.8%) and various infections (35.1%) largely distanced those from cancer (13.5%). Four significant independent predictive factors were identified: carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) < 70% (HR=3.01; p=0.0053), C-reactive protein (CRP) >5 mg/l (HR=2.13; p=0.0174), cardiac involvement (HR=2.86; p=0.0012), and the fact of being male (HR=3.25; p=0.0004). Conclusion Long-term data confirmed high mortality of SSc. Male sex, DLCO <70%, cardiac involvement, and CRP> 5mg/l were identified as independent predictors of mortality.
Objective The detection of somatic mutations in genes of myeloid cells in asymptomatic patients - defining clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) - predisposes to cardiovascular events (CVE) in the general population. We aimed to determine whether CHIP was associated with CVE in SLE patients. Methods The study is an ancillary study of the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter trial PLUS study conducted from June 2007 through August 2010 at 37 centers in France involving 573 SLE patients. The search for somatic mutations by high-throughput sequencing of 53 genes involved in clonal hematopoiesis was performed on genomic DNA collected at PLUS inclusion. The CHIP prevalence was assessed in SLE and in a retrospective cohort of 479 patients free of hematological malignancy. The primary outcome was the incident CVE in SLE. Results Screening for CHIP was performed in 438 SLE patients (38 [29-47] years, 91·8% female). Overall, 63 somatic mutations were identified in 47 patients defining a CHIP prevalence of 10·7% in SLE. Most SLE patients (78·7%) carried a single mutation. Most variants (62·5%) were located in the DNMT3A gene. CHIP was associated with age, age at SLE diagnosis and a lower frequency of antiphospholipid antibodies. CHIP occurred more than 20-years earlier (p < 0·00001) in SLE than in controls. The detection of CHIP at inclusion was not associated with the occurrence of CVE during follow up (HR = 0·42 (0·06 – 3·21), p = 0·406). Conclusion The prevalence of CHIP is high in SLE with respect to age but was not associated with incident CVE. Clinical trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT05146414
Objective Identification of biological markers able to better stratify cardiovascular risks in SLE patients is needed. We aimed to determine whether serum cardiac troponin T (cTnT) levels measured with a highly sensitive assay [high sensitivity cTnT (HS-cTnT)] may predict cardiovascular events (CVEs) in SLE. Method All SLE patients included between 2007 and 2010 in the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicentre PLUS trial were screened. Patients with no past history of CVE at inclusion and a follow-up period of >20 months were analysed. HS-cTnT concentration was measured using the electrochemiluminescence method on serum collected at PLUS inclusion. The primary outcome was the incident CVE. Factors associated with the primary outcome were identified and multivariate analysis was performed. Results Overall, 442 SLE patients (of the 573 included in the PLUS study) were analysed for the primary outcome with a median follow up of 110 (interquartile range: 99–120) months. Among them, 29 (6.6%) experienced at least one CVE that occurred at a median of 67 (interquartile range: 31–91) months after inclusion. Six out of 29 patients had more than one CVE. In the multivariate analysis, dyslipidaemia, age and HS-cTnT were associated with the occurrence of CVE. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that a concentration of HS-cTnT > 4.27 ng/l at inclusion increased by 2.7 [hazard ratio 2.7 (95% CI: 1.3, 5.6), P =0.0083] the risk of CVE in SLE. Conclusion HS-cTnT measured in serum is the first identified biomarker independently associated with incident CVE in SLE patients.
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