-We perform a comparative analysis of the Chinese stock market around the occurrence of the 2008 crisis based on the random matrix analysis of high-frequency stock returns of 1228 stocks listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. Both raw correlation matrix and partial correlation matrix with respect to the market index in two time periods of one year are investigated. We find that the Chinese stocks have stronger average correlation and partial correlation in 2008 than in 2007 and the average partial correlation is significantly weaker than the average correlation in each period. Accordingly, the largest eigenvalue of the correlation matrix is remarkably greater than that of the partial correlation matrix in each period. Moreover, each largest eigenvalue and its eigenvector reflect an evident market effect, while other deviating eigenvalues do not. We find no evidence that deviating eigenvalues contain industrial sectorial information. Surprisingly, the eigenvectors of the second largest eigenvalues in 2007 and of the third largest eigenvalues in 2008 are able to distinguish the stocks from the two exchanges. We also find that the component magnitudes of the some largest eigenvectors are proportional to the stocks' capitalizations.Introduction. -Financial markets evolve in a selforganized manner with the interacting elements forming complex networks at different levels, including international markets [1][2][3][4], individual markets [5][6][7][8], and security trading networks [9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16]. There are well-documented stylized facts of stock return time series within individual markets unveiled by the random matrix theory (RMT) analysis [6,17]: (1) The largest eigenvalue reflects the market effect such that its eigenportfolio returns are strongly correlated with the market returns; (2) Other largest eigenvalues contain information of industrial sectors; and (3) The smallest eigenvalues embed stock pairs with large correlations. However, for stock exchange index returns [1] and housing markets [18,19], the largest eigenvalues can be used to extract geographic traits. Moreover, the signs of eigenvector components contain information of local interactions [18,20,21].
Network motif analysis is a useful tool for the investigation of complex networks. We study the profiles of tetradic motifs in horizontal visibility graphs (HVGs) converted from multifractal binomial measures, fractional Gaussian noises, and heartbeat rates. The profiles of tetradic motifs contains the spatial information (visibility) and temporal information (relative magnitude) among the data points in the corresponding time series. For multifractal binomial measures, the occurrence frequencies of the tetradic motifs are determined, which converge to a constant vector (2/3, 0, 8/99, 8/33, 1/99, 0). For fractional Gaussian noises, the motif occurrence frequencies are found to depend nonlinearly on the Hurst exponent and the length of time series. These findings suggest the potential ability of tetradic motif profiles in distinguishing different types of time series. Finally, we apply the tetradic motif analysis to heartbeat rates of healthy subjects, congestive heart failure (CHF) subjects, and atrial fibrillation (AF) subjects. Different subjects can be distinguished from the occurrence frequencies of tetradic motifs.
Complex network is not only a powerful tool for the analysis of complex system, but also a promising way to analyze time series. The algorithm of horizontal visibility graph (HVG) maps time series into graphs, whose degree distributions are numerically and analytically investigated for certain time series. We derive the degree distributions of HVGs through an iterative construction process of HVGs. The degree distributions of the HVG and the directed HVG for random series are derived to be exponential, which confirms the analytical results from other methods. We also obtained the analytical expressions of degree distributions of HVGs and in-degree and out-degree distributions of directed HVGs transformed from multifractal binomial measures, which agree excellently with numerical simulations.
We introduce the concept of time series motifs for time series analysis. Time series motifs consider not only the spatial information of mutual visibility but also the temporal information of relative magnitude between the data points. We study the profiles of the six triadic time series. The six motif occurrence frequencies are derived for uncorrelated time series, which are approximately linear functions of the length of the time series. The corresponding motif profile thus converges to a constant vector (0.2, 0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.1, 0.2). These analytical results have been verified by numerical simulations. For fractional Gaussian noises, numerical simulations unveil the nonlinear dependence of motif occurrence frequencies on the Hurst exponent. Applications of the time series motif analysis uncover that the motif occurrence frequency distributions are able to capture the different dynamics in the heartbeat rates of healthy subjects, congestive heart failure (CHF) subjects, and atrial fibrillation (AF) subjects and in the price fluctuations of bullish and bearish markets. Our method shows its potential power to classify different types of time series and test the time irreversibility of time series.
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