Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) is an approach to optimization under uncertainty in which, instead of assuming that there is a known true underlying probability distribution, one hedges against a chosen set of distributions. In this paper, we first point out that the set of distributions should be chosen to be appropriate for the application at hand and some of the choices that have been popular until recently are, for many applications, not good choices. We next consider sets of distributions that are within a chosen Wasserstein distance from a nominal distribution. Such a choice of sets has two advantages: (1) The resulting distributions hedged against are more reasonable than those resulting from other popular choices of sets. (2) The problem of determining the worst-case expectation over the resulting set of distributions has desirable tractability properties. We derive a strong duality reformulation of the corresponding DRSO problem and construct approximate worst-case distributions (or an exact worst-case distribution if it exists) explicitly via the first-order optimality conditions of the dual problem. Our contributions are fourfold. (i) We identify necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a worst-case distribution, which are naturally related to the growth rate of the objective function. (ii) We show that the worst-case distributions resulting from an appropriate Wasserstein distance have a concise structure and a clear interpretation. (iii) Using this structure, we show that data-driven DRSO problems can be approximated to any accuracy by robust optimization problems, and thereby many DRSO problems become tractable by using tools from robust optimization. (iv) Our strong duality result holds in a very general setting. As examples, we show that it can be applied to infinite dimensional process control and intensity estimation for point processes.
In this paper, we propose a risk-based data-driven approach to optimal power flow (DROPF) with dynamic line rating. The risk terms, including penalties for load shedding, wind generation curtailment and line overload, are embedded into the objective function. To hedge against the uncertainties on wind generation data and line rating data, we consider a distributionally robust approach. The ambiguity set is based on second-order moment and Wasserstein distance, which captures the correlations between wind generation outputs and line ratings, and is robust to data perturbation. We show that the proposed DROPF model can be reformulated as a conic program. Considering the relatively large number of constraints involved, an approximation of the proposed DROPF model is suggested, which significantly reduces the computational costs. A Wasserstein distance constrained DROPF and its tractable reformulation are also provided for practical large-scale test systems. Simulation results on the 5-bus, the IEEE 118-bus and the Polish 2736-bus test systems validate the effectiveness of the proposed models.
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