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The dispersion and settlement of sea scallop larvae spawned on Georges Bank (GB) and in the Great Southern Channel (GSC) were explored using an individual-based population dynamics model. The model consisted of 4 pelagic life stages (egg, trochophore, veliger, and pediveliger) and 3 benthic life stages (juvenile, young adult, and adult). It was driven by the 1995 to 2005 hindcast flow field predicted by the Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) in the Gulf of Maine (GOM), with spawning stocks specified by field survey data. In 1998In , and 2005, a large amount of larvae drifted southward along the shelf break to the Middle Atlantic Bight (MAB). The potential for long-distance southward transport of larvae was dependent on the upstream flow conditions on the Nova Scotian Shelf, climate forcing, and the timing and location of spawning on GB. The model also predicts considerable larval exchange between the GB and the GSC subpopulations, with 83% of larvae settled in the GSC being spawned on GB, and 46% of larvae settled on GB being spawned in the GSC on average from 1995 to 2005.

Tian, R. C., Chen, C., Stokesbury, K. D. E., Rothschild, B. J., Cowles, G. W., Xu, Q., Hu, S., Harris, B. P., and Marino II, M. C. 2009. Dispersal and settlement of sea scallop larvae spawned in the fishery closed areas on Georges Bank. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 2155–2164. Three fishery closed areas in the Georges Bank (GB) region were implemented in 1994 to protect depleted groundfish stocks for population replenishment. However, the drift and ultimate destination of larvae spawned in the closed areas have not been analysed specifically within the framework of ocean currents. To assess the efficiency of the closed areas as population replenishment sources, we conducted a simulation-based analysis on the dispersal and settlement of sea scallop larvae spawned in the closed areas from 1995 to 2005 using circulation fields computed by the Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model, scallop survey data, and a population dynamics model. Closed area I located in the Great Southern Channel (GSC) had a persistently high rate of larval retention (86% on average). For closed area II located on eastern GB, a considerable quantity of larvae was dispersed out of the domain. For the Nantucket Lightship Closed Area located on Nantucket Shoals, larvae consistently drifted away from the region during the 11 years simulated. Our simulation revealed three high-retention regions that are the most suitable for closed-area selection and rotational fishery management in terms of larval supply to the GB–GSC region.

Coupled physical–biological modelling experiments were made for the period of 1995–2009 to analyse the spatial and interannual variability of nutrients and phytoplankton production in the Gulf of Maine (GOM). The physical model was the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) and the biological model was a Nitrogen, Phytoplankton, Zooplankton, and Detritus (NPZD) model. The simulation was carried out with realistic meteorological surface forcing, five major tidal constituents, river discharge, and observation-based open boundary conditions. The results were robust with comparison to SeaWiFS chlorophyll data and historical data of nitrogen. An Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis clearly identified two dominant modes in nutrient and phytoplankton dynamics: (1) sustained nutrient supply and phytoplankton production from spring through autumn, and (2) a dominating phytoplankton bloom in spring, relatively low production in summer, and a noticeable bloom in autumn. Mode 1 was a dominant feature in strong tidal energy dissipation regions such as the southwestern shelf of Nova Scotia, Georges Bank, Nantucket Shoals, the Bay of Fundy, and the coastal regions of GOM, where tidal pumping and mixing were the major drivers for the sustained nutrient supply, and primary production showed certain resilience with less interannual variability. Mode 2 was a characteristic in the deep Gulf, the offshore region of the Scotian Shelf, and in the open sea area, where the timing and amplitude of the spring phytoplankton bloom is essentially controlled by the salinity regime, and its interannual variability was significantly influenced by freshening events controlled by local and remote forcing.

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