Objective Insulin resistance (IR) is a major factor involved in the pathogenesis of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, an easily detected surrogate marker of IR, has not been explored sufficiently on its relationship with incident MAFLD risk. This study sought to investigate the association of baseline TyG index with the risk of MAFLD in a Chinese cohort. Methods This health check-up cohort was constructed with eligible 2056 Chinese from a community. The TyG index was calculated as ln (fasting triglyceride [mg/dL]×fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2). Cox proportion hazard models were used to evaluate the longitudinal association between baseline TyG index and the risk of MAFLD. Results During an average follow-up of 2.5 ± 0.5 years, about 12.8% of the subjects developed MAFLD, and the incidence of MAFLD trended to increase with the quartile TyG index ( P trend < 0.05). After adjusting for all confounders, TyG index was independently correlated with the risk of incident MAFLD (HR = 1.784, 95% CI = 1.383–2.302, P < 0.001), and the risk of MAFLD in the highest quartile of TyG index was two times higher than that in the lowest quartile (95% CI = 1.377–2.992, P = 0.001). The restricted cubic spline analysis showed that the relationship between TyG index and the risk of MAFLD was linear in males ( P for total < 0.001; P for non-linearity = 0.746), but nonlinear in females ( P for non-linearity = 0.040). Conclusion A high baseline TyG index was independently associated with a high risk of incident MAFLD, and we might develop the strategy of MAFLD prevention based on the TyG index.

Protein kinase B (PKB/AKT) has shown a high profile in the research of metabolic diseases. This research sought to determine whether the AKT1 gene's single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and the risk of developing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were related. Patients and Methods: Recruited in this case-control study were 2693 subjects, including 815 with NAFLD and 1878 without NAFLD. Three SNPs of AKT1 (rs2494732, rs2494752 and rs1130233) were genotyped. To examine the correlation between SNPs and NAFLD susceptibility, logistic regression was performed. Results: After adjusting for sex, age, triglyceride and glucose, AKT1 rs2494732-C (all P < 0.05 in co-dominant model, dominant model and additive model) and rs2494752-G (P < 0.05 in co-dominant model) were linked to a lower risk of NAFLD. The combined effect of both SNPs on NAFLD risk was statistically significant, showing a dose dependence (P trend = 0.010). Sex, body mass index, hypertension, hyperglycemia, hypertriglyceridemia, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, alanine aminotransferase, and beneficial alleles were all significant predictors of NAFLD risk (all P < 0.05). The prediction model achieved good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.779. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test suggested an inadequate calibration of the model (χ 2 = 21.073, P = 0.007). Conclusion: AKT1 rs2494732 and rs2494752 may be related to Chinese NAFLD susceptibility. The prediction model combining both SNPs with clinical factors displays a strong ability to discriminate NAFLD patients. Both SNPs may be exploited to design new models for early screening of NAFLD high-risk population.