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This paper addresses the topic of inter-provincial migration in terms of the basic question: 'Who moves?'. Panel logit models of the probability that an individual changes his or her province of residence from one year to the next over the 1982-1995 period are estimated using tax-based longitudinal data. It is found that moving is (i) inversely related to the home province's population size, presumably reflecting local economic conditions and labour market scale effects, while language also plays an important role; (ii) more common among residents of smaller cities, towns, and especially rural areas than those in larger cities; (iii) negatively related to age, marriage, and the presence of children for both men and women; (iv) positively related to the provincial unemployment rate, the individuals' receipt of unemployment insurance (except Entry Men), having no market income (except for Entry Men and Entry Women), and the receipt of social assistance (especially for men); (v) (slightly) positively related to earnings levels (beyond the zero earnings point) for prime aged men, but not for others; and (vi) more or less stable over time, with men's rates declining slightly and women's holding steadier or rising slightly, indicating a divergence in trends along gender lines.

Poverty (low income) dynamics are explored using tax filer data covering the period 1992 to 1996. The distributions of short-and long-term episodes are identified and reveal substantial differences by sex and family type. Entry and exit models explore the relationships between poverty transitions and sex, family status and other personal and situational attributes. Duration effects on exiting and re-entering poverty are found to be important, and models including past poverty experiences point to strong 'occurrence dependence' for poverty entry and incidence. Fixed-effect panel data models confirm the above and reveal asymmetries in the impacts of household transitions on poverty. JEL Classification. I3 La dynamique de la pauvrete´: re´sultats empiriques pour le Canada. Les auteurs examinent la dynamique de la pauvrete´(bas revenus) a`l'aide des donne´es disponibles pour les citoyens qui ont soumis leurs rapports d'impoˆt entre 1992 et 1996. On identifie les distributions d'e´pisodes (courts et longs) de pauvrete´, et celles-ci re´ve`lent des diffe´rences significatives selon le sexe et les attributs familiaux. Les mode`les d'entre´e et sortie identifient les relations entre le statut de pauvrete´, le sexe, le statut familial, et d'autres attributs personnels et situationnels. Il appert que les effets de dure´e sur les pe´riodes de sortie et de re´-entre´e dans un statut de pauvrete´sont importants; les mode`les qui prennent en compte les e´pisodes de pauvrete´ante´rieurs montrent qu'il y a une forte corre´lation (occurrence dependence) tant pour le passage au statut de pauvrete´que pour l'incidence de tels e´pisodes. Les re´sultats des e´tudes transversales confirment ces re´sultats et re´ve`lent des asyme´tries dans les impacts des transitions dans les me´nages sur la pauvrete´.