The Philippines is one of the fastest urbanizing countries in the East Asia and Pacific region (Baker & Watanabe, 2017). Despite having its advantages, urbanization still has its challenges that require extensive urban management and development programs for it to be prevented and minimized. In this paper, the researchers forecasted the urban population growth of the Philippines using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model. The historical data obtained from the World Bank Group was from 1960 to 2020. The R Programming Language was used as the medium for the entire forecasting process. Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) plots, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, Phillips-Perron (PP) test, and Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt, and Shin (KPSS) test were used for testing the stationarity of the time-series data. Moreover, Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc), and Schwarz Information Criteria (SIC) were used as criteria for selecting the best ARIMA model. It was shown that the best ARIMA model for forecasting the urban population growth of the country is ARIMA (20, 1, 10). This model has been formulated and chosen through the mentioned statistical tests, and criteria for validation, and was further validated using error measures. The chosen ARIMA model was proven to be accurate based on the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.18877 and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 3.71%. The researchers found an increase in the trend of 1.95% by 2022, 2.08% by 2024, 2.19% by 2026, and 2.36% by 2028. This potential rise in urban population growth in the Philippines may improve the economy of the country for the next 6 years, but this could also imply that the underlying issues of urbanization may get worse. The researchers conclude that the Philippine national government and local government units should have better and strengthened urban management and development programs to aid these problems. Government officials and even private sectors may use this paper as a reference to have an informed decision and policy-making. KEYWORDS: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model, Box-Jenkins Method, Urbanization, Urban Population Growth, Forecast, R Programming Language
Lack of security measures for cybersecurity threat is somewhat vulnerable and can even put one’s digital life at high risk of phishing attack which is so alarming nowadays. Perpetrators may even use fictitious personal information to infiltrate various institutions for their malicious acts. It is the aim of this paper to present a security measure for a safe data transfer by means of vaccination card. Vaccination information is one of the most commonly acquired pieces of data today. However, because most internet data collection processes lack encryption, personal data becomes very vulnerable to threats. As a result, the researchers presented a Centralized Covid-19 Record System, which illustrates secure data transfer via RSA-generated QR codes. A descriptive research design was employed in which a survey questionnaire together with secondary data sources and online tools i.e., RSA Express Encryption/Decryption Calculator and QR code generator were utilized as data instruments. Through a culmination of knowledge on asymmetric cryptography, RSA algorithm, QR codes, and web system development, answers to the founded research questions were unveiled. The web system’s architecture comprises several components and sub-components building its digital makeup. For the system development process, the most essential structural components are the web browser, web server, and database server. Through a message encryption/decryption feature that makes use of the RSA algorithm in generating a key pair, cryptography was implemented in the system. The essential mathematical parameters comprising such features are RSA encryption algorithm, RSA decryption algorithm, and Euler phi function. As for the system development environment, several hardware and software requirements that build and support the system’s end-to-end process were also specified. Upon the employment of those specifications, the system was able to offer several security features including the 15-digit account user IDs and QR code scanning for log-in, secured acquisition of public and private keys, and an admin verification process. Lastly, it was found that asymmetric cryptosystem provides a secured channel for data transfer due to the computational difficulty of factoring the large integers that constitute modulo . Upon the strategic culmination of the study’s framework, well-established system architecture, required system specifications, and security measures, the researchers were able to successfully develop VacciFied.net, a Centralized Covid-19 Record System involving authenticated data transfer process.
The installation of CCTV cameras monitoring the street sections of one of the most visited areas of Manila may serve as deterrence against theft, crime, abduction, and even act of lasciviousness. Furthermore, the redundant orientations of some of the units in the system were recognized as possible inhibitors of the efficiency of the local surveillance system. In line with this, the study proposed a model for CCTV camera placement in Intramuros by representing the community as a graph in a 2-dimensional space. The paper presents a two-phase approach in determining the best placements of CCTV cameras. Phase I took care of the ideal installation spots as a set-covering problem while Phase II identified the optimal CCTV orientation using the Proposed algorithm. In Phase I, a binary integer programming model was formulated and solved using the data solver function of Microsoft Excel. The designed algorithm in Phase II was based on greedy heuristics utilizing the results in Phase I to identify the optimal orientation of the CCTV units. Findings suggest that out of the seventeen candidate locations, nine of them are optimal for CCTV installation. A total of twenty-three CCTV units are required to cover all the entry and exit points of the streets in district 5 of Intramuros. The proposed algorithm produced two optimal solutions A and B. Comparison with the existing CCTV system in the district and discussions on each optimal installation suggested that result B is better than A. Recommendations on the results of the study were addressed to the authorities of district 5 for immediate implementation.
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