Demethylating agents are able to improve clinical outcome and alter methylation status in patients with solid tumours. Although beneficial effect has been shown in individual patients, overall response is limited. Further research on biomarker predicting therapy efficacy is indicated, particularly in earlier stage and highly methylated tumours.
Background Advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harbours many genetic aberrations that can be targeted with systemic treatments. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) can simultaneously detect these (and possibly new) molecular targets. However, the exact added clinical value of WGS is unknown. Objective The objective of this study was to determine the early cost effectiveness of using WGS in diagnostic strategies compared with currently used molecular diagnostics for patients with inoperable stage IIIB,C/IV non-squamous NSCLC from a Dutch healthcare perspective. Methods A decision tree represented the diagnostic pathway, and a cohort state transition model represented disease progression. Three diagnostic strategies were modelled: standard of care (SoC) alone, WGS as a diagnostic test, and SoC followed by WGS. Treatment effectiveness was based on a systematic review. Probabilistic cost-effectiveness analyses were performed, and threshold analyses (using €80,000 per quality-adjusted life-year [QALY]) was used to explore the early cost effectiveness of WGS. Results WGS as a diagnostic test resulted in more QALYs (0.002) and costs (€1534 [incremental net monetary benefit -€1349]), and SoC followed by WGS resulted in fewer QALYs (-0.002) and more costs (€1059 [-€1194]) compared with SoC alone. WGS as a diagnostic test was only cost effective if it was priced at €2000 per patient and identified 2.7% more actionable patients than SoC alone. Treating these additional identified patients with new treatments costing >€4069 per month decreased the probability of cost effectiveness. Conclusions Our analysis suggests that providing WGS as a diagnostic test is cost effective compared with SoC followed by WGS and SoC alone if costs for WGS decrease and additional patients with actionable targets are identified. This costeffectiveness model can be used to incorporate new findings iteratively and to support ongoing decision making regarding the use of WGS in this rapidly evolving field.
Little evidence is available about survival rates in patients with recurrent disease after potentially curative surgery for esophageal or junctional cancer. Only in limited occasions, potentially curative salvage strategies are available. The aim of this study is to analyze survival rates and patterns of dissemination, and to identify independent prognostic factors in a consecutive series of patients who develop recurrent esophageal or junctional cancer. Between 1994 and 2015, patients who developed disease recurrence after neoadjuvant chemo(radio)therapy followed by radical esophagectomy for esophageal or junctional cancer were retrospectively analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier estimates were performed to calculate and compare overall survival between patients with different patterns of dissemination and to compare between different treatment strategies. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors for post recurrence survival. In this study, we included 219 patients. The median overall survival of all included patients was 3.2 months (range: 0.0-101.1 months). The median overall survival in patients with exclusively locoregional recurrence (n = 23, 10.8%) was 4.9 months (range: 0.1- 55.6) and 2.9 months (range: 0.0-101.1) in patients who had distant metastases (n = 189, 89.2%), P = 0.003. Patients who received treatment aimed at complete tumor eradication (n = 28, 13.7%) had a median overall survival of 13.6 months (range: 1.1-101.1) and palliative treated patients (n = 94, 46.1%) of 4.7 months (range: 0.3-25.6), P < 0.001. In a selected group of patients survival of more than 20 months was achieved. Univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analysis showed that a higher age at the diagnosis of recurrent disease (hazard ratio: 1.087, P ≤ 0.001), an irradical resection of the primary tumor (hazard ratio: 3.355, P = < 0.001), the number of positive lymph nodes after neoadjuvant therapy (hazard ratios: ypN2 = 1.724 (P = 0.024) and ypN3 = 2.082 (P = 0.028) and the presence of a single hematogenous distant metastases (hazard ratio: 2.281, P = 0.003) or more than one hematogenous distant metastasis (hazard ratio: 2.385, P = 0.005) were associated with a shorter postrecurrence survival. The prognosis of patients who develop recurrent esophageal or junctional cancer is poor. In a selected group of patients however relatively long survival can be achieved. This offers new perspectives to improve treatment strategies and survival rates.
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