With or without regime change in Iraq, the U.S. military posture toward the Persian Gulf will require significant adjustments over the next decade. The future of Iraq-and the outcome of U.S. efforts to effect regime change and Baghdad's compliance with United Nations Security Council resolutions-will be the key driver of the size and character of these changes. Regardless of how regime change occurs in Iraq-whether it happens quickly and decisively or is protracted and messy-and whatever type of post-Saddam regime finally emerges, the United States will need to diversify its dependence on regional basing and forward
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