Visualizing 3D trajectories to extract insights about their similarities and spatial configuration is a critical task in several domains. Air traffic controllers for example deal with large quantities of aircrafts routes to optimize safety in airspace and neuroscientists attempt to understand neuronal pathways in the human brain by visualizing bundles of fibers from DTI images. Extracting insights from masses of 3D trajectories is challenging as the multiple three dimensional lines have complex geometries, may overlap, cross or even merge with each other, making it impossible to follow individual ones in dense areas. As trajectories are inherently spatial and three dimensional, we propose FiberClay: a system to display and interact with 3D trajectories in immersive environments. FiberClay renders a large quantity of trajectories in real time using GP-GPU techniques. FiberClay also introduces a new set of interactive techniques for composing complex queries in 3D space leveraging immersive environment controllers and user position. These techniques enable an analyst to select and compare sets of trajectories with specific geometries and data properties. We conclude by discussing insights found using FiberClay with domain experts in air traffic control and neurology.
Ground-based aircraft trajectory prediction is a major concern in air traffic control and management. A safe and efficient prediction is a prerequisite to the implementation of new automated tools.In current operations, trajectory prediction is computed using a physical model. It models the forces acting on the aircraft to predict the successive points of the future trajectory. Using such a model requires knowledge of the aircraft state (mass) and aircraft intent (thrust law, speed intent). Most of this information is not available to ground-based systems.This paper focuses on the climb phase. We improve the trajectory prediction accuracy by predicting some of the unknown point-mass model parameters. These unknown parameters are the mass and the speed intent. This study relies on ADS-B data coming from The OpenSky Network. It contains the climbing segments of the year 2017 detected by this sensor network. The 11 most frequent aircraft types are studied. The obtained data set contains millions of climbing segments from all over the world. The climbing segments are not filtered according to their altitude. Predictive models returning the missing parameters are learned from this data set, using a Machine Learning method. The trained models are tested on the two last months of the year and compared with a baseline method (BADA used with the mean parameters computed on the first ten months). Compared with this baseline, the Machine Learning approach reduce the RMSE on the altitude by 48 % on average on a 10 minutes horizon prediction. The RMSE on the speed is reduced by 25 % on average. The trajectory prediction is also improved for small climbing segments. Using only information available before the considered aircraft take-off, the Machine Learning method can predict the unknown parameters, reducing the RMSE on the altitude by 25 % on average.The data set and the Machine Learning code are publicly available.
. Learning the aircraft mass and thrust to improve the ground-based trajectory prediction of climbing flights. Transportation research. Part C, Emerging technologies, Elsevier, 2013, 36, pp 45-60 AbstractGround-based aircraft trajectory prediction is a major concern in air traffic control and management. A safe and efficient prediction is a prerequisite to the implementation of automated tools that detect and solve conflicts between trajectories. This paper focuses on the climb phase, because predictions are much less accurate in this phase than in the cruising phase.Trajectory prediction usually relies on a point-mass model of the forces acting on the aircraft to predict the successive points of the future trajectory. The longitudinal acceleration and climb rate are determined by an equation relating the modeled power of the forces to the kinetic and potential energy rate. Using such a model requires knowledge of the aircraft state (mass, current thrust setting, position, velocity, etc.), atmospheric conditions (wind, temperature) and aircraft intent (thrust law, speed intent). Most of this information is not available to ground-based systems.In this paper, we improve the trajectory prediction accuracy by learning some of the unknown point-mass model parameters from past observations. These unknown parameters, mass and thrust, are adjusted by fitting the modeled specific power to the observed energy rate. The thrust law is learned from historical data, and the mass is estimated on past trajectory points. The adjusted parameters are not meant to be exact, however they are designed so as to improve the energy rate prediction. The performances of the proposed method are compared with the results of standard modelbased methods relying on the Eurocontrol Base of Aircraft DAta (BADA), using two months of radar track records and weather data.
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