This paper compares alternative ways of measuring participation of a country in Global Value Chains (GVCs) and estimates distribution of gains among countries in terms of countries' shares in total value-added created by trade under GVCs. Using the OECD-WTO database on Trade in Value Added, this paper shows that 67% of total global value created under global value chains, accrue to OECD countries while share of NICs and BRICs countries is 25%. Only 8% of total value added is shared among all other developing countries and Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Linking into Global Value Chains is not enough for taking gains. Policy should be designed to raise forward linkages, that is, exporting domestic value-added contents. Trade-led growth is more complex than it seems.
The paper highlights the export-diversifying impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) in a developing country. FDI may lead to export diversification in the host country if it positively affects the export intensity of industries that have a low share in world exports. Indirectly, FDI may encourage export diversification through spillover effects: that is, the presence of FDI in an industry may increase the export intensity of domestic firms. The empirical results for the Indian economy in the post-liberalisation period show that FDI from the US has led to diversification of India's exports, both directly and indirectly. However, Japanese FDI has had no significant impact on India's exports. Journal of International Business Studies (2006) 37, 558–568. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400207
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AbstractThe Indian economy has shown considerable resilience to the global economic crisis by maintaining one of the highest growth rates in the world. The services sector accounted for around 88% of the growth rate in real gross domestic product in 2008-09. To demystify the relatively resilient growth of the services sector in India, this study examines both the demand-side and the supply-side factors that have contributed to its growth To assess the role of external demand, income elasticity of export demand for the aggregated services and some of the disaggregated services of India were estimated. It was found that the main driver of growth in India's services sector is growth in the domestic demand for services and not growth in the export of services. The contribution of the growth of the export of services to the growth of the overall services sector was only 22%. In order to examine the role of supply-side factors, total factor productivity growth was estimated in the services sectors that have contributed substantially to overall growth, which are the software and banking services. Using Data Envelopment Analysis at the firm level, it was found that both these sectors experienced productivity growth above 10% after 2000. High domestic demand and high productivity growth largely explain the resilience of India's services growth.
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