Ulmus laevis Pallas is a rare and endangered tree species in the northern part of Belgium, restricted to a minimal amount of natural populations that mainly consist of a strongly reduced number of individuals. Probably isolated for several generations, random phenotypic variation in the strongly declined populations can be hypothesised. We analysed U. laevis trees grown in a field trial with a single-tree-plot design (completely randomised). The plants were vegetatively propagated through cuttings from nearly all known natural relict populations in Flanders. We analysed three short-shoot leaves from different ramets from different genotypes from eleven natural populations. Leaf size and shape variables were computed using landmark and procruste methods. We visualised the variability in leaf morphology in a principal component analysis (PCA) including shape, size, and categorical morphological variables. The variance structure of the morphological variables was studied applying mixed modelling methods. The overall PCA distinguished two deviating natural populations. The Zandhoven population showed a deviating simple leaf margin toothing, correlated with larger numbers of split secondary veins. The Halle population is characterised by absence of pubescence at the lower side of the leaves. Both relict populations with deviating morphological leaf characteristics may point to an ecotype evolution putatively due to isolation combined with greatly diminished population sizes. The variance structure analysis of individual leaf variables showed that the deviating categorical leaf characters are under stronger genetic control (specialist characters) compared to the more plastic variables.
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