This paper tests the validity of the triple deficit hypothesis in Nigeria by examining the causal relationship among current account deficit, financial account deficit, and fiscal deficit within a five-variate ARDL framework complemented with GMM framework for the period 2008-2017 using quarterly data. The paper obviates the variable omission bias that characterizes most existing studies. The ARDL-bound testing technique confirms that there is the presence of a long-run bi-causal relationship between current account and financial account deficits in Nigeria. The results based on the model and empirical outputs suggest that authorities of this economy must put in place a fully fiscal and monetary discipline policy that should ensure the drastic curtailment of fiscal deficit and create a conducive environment to attract foreign remittances and foreign investment, which would help to generate healthy external balances. In addition, exchange rate stability can promote the export sector and minimize external imbalances through creating critical surpluses in current accounts, including related comprehensive discipline policies that may be pursued, which enable the external sector, financial and fiscal sectors, and monetary sector to perform without creating adverse imbalances in this economy.JEL classification: F32, F41, H62

This paper examines the causal relationship between financial inclusion, institutional quality and inclusive growth within a four-variate ARDL-EC framework and forecast error variance decomposition technique for the period of 2003-2018 using quarterly data in Nigeria. The paper incorporates two variables to capture institutional quality (government effectiveness and regulatory quality) in order to eliminate variable omission bias in which most existing studies are characterised. Those adopted techniques confirm the long-run and bi-causal relationships mainly between financial inclusion and inclusive growth in Nigeria. In addition, bi-directional causal relationships of the outcome of the study are also established between financial inclusion and government effectiveness, likewise between inclusive growth and regulatory quality mainly in the short-run. The results based on the model and empirical outputs suggest that for the authorities of this economy to achieve and sustain equitable growth, fully disciplined policies that can promote and enhance financial inclusion and inclusive growth of the greater proportion of the population should not be managed and handled by loosed hands This paper examines the causal relationship between financial inclusion, institutional quality and inclusive growth within a four-variate ARDL-EC framework and forecast error variance decomposition technique for the period of 2003-2018 using quarterly data in Nigeria. The paper incorporates two variables to capture institutional quality (government effectiveness and regulatory quality) in order to eliminate variable omission bias in which most existing studies are characterised. Those adopted techniques confirm the long-run and bi-causal relationships mainly between financial inclusion and inclusive growth in Nigeria. In addition, bi-directional causal relationships of the outcome of the study are also established between financial inclusion and government effectiveness, likewise between inclusive growth and regulatory quality mainly in the short-run. The results based on the model and empirical outputs suggest that for the authorities of this economy to achieve and sustain equitable growth, fully disciplined policies that can promote and enhance financial inclusion and inclusive growth of the greater proportion of the population should not be managed and handled by loosed hands

This paper explores the asymmetric nexus between financial inclusion, financial efficiency and financial stability, within asymmetric and symmetric Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) framework, covering the period from 2003 to 2018, using quarterly data in Nigeria. The findings showed that symmetric technique of econometric test detects, that financial stability is augmented by better improvement in financial inclusion in short-run, while asymmetric technique observed that short-run positive effect, and negative effect likewise long-run decrease in this index heightened the level of financial stability in this economy. This study further found trade-off existence, between financial efficiency and financial stability in both symmetric and asymmetric techniques of econometric tests, which is consistent with some empirical findings. The results based on the model and empirical data indicate that, the monetary authority needs to follow prudent and adequate supervisory standard in pursuing financial inclusion, financial intermediaries should be accompanied with good institutional quality, including financial awareness that should be enhanced through financial teachings in all sectors both in the urban and rural areas of the economy.

AbstractThis paper examines the causal relationship between nutrition intake, health status, education and economic growth within a six-variate VEC framework, forecast error variance decomposition and impulse response function techniques, covering the period from 1990 to 2013, using quarterly data in Nigeria. This paper includes control variables in order to eliminate variable omission bias, unlike most existing studies. The results suggest the presence of long-run, bicausal relationships between the candidate variables of the study. In addition, the short-run unidirectional causal relationships are found between main variables, including a causal relationship running from nutrition and fiscal policy to education, as well as a causal link running from education and economic growth to health status. These findings support the existing theories. The results based on the model and empirical data suggest that the government should allocate more resources to human development in order to enhance productivity and boost economic growth. Similarly, there is a need to design adequate mechanisms to ensure proper allocation of the limited resources and avoid their embezzlement by corrupt government officials.

The  study investigated the magnitude of exchange rate pass through to import prices and domestic prices    (consumer price index) in WAMZ economy using quarterly time-series data between 2000 and 2010 with the aids of Vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling technique supported with Johansen co-integration approach cross country analysis comprising of Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Sierra-Leone. The study discovered that transmission of exchange rate to import prices is more when compared with consumer price in the zone while the contributions of exchange rate to import price are not less 13 percent at average in entire zone. Consumer price index was explained by exchange rate pass through with an average of 26 percent in the zone where the pass through to consumer price is less than two percent in Ghanaian economy. The Taylor (2000) hypothesis was observed in the study where Ghana and Nigeria are the outlier economies while Nigeria established a positive relationship between interest rate volatility and exchange rate pass through to import prices.