Broad scale population estimates of declining species are desired for conservation efforts. However, for many secretive species including large carnivores, such estimates are often difficult. Based on published density estimates obtained through camera trapping, presence/absence data, and globally available predictive variables derived from satellite imagery, we modelled density and occurrence of a large carnivore, the jaguar, across the species’ entire range. We then combined these models in a hierarchical framework to estimate the total population. Our models indicate that potential jaguar density is best predicted by measures of primary productivity, with the highest densities in the most productive tropical habitats and a clear declining gradient with distance from the equator. Jaguar distribution, in contrast, is determined by the combined effects of human impacts and environmental factors: probability of jaguar occurrence increased with forest cover, mean temperature, and annual precipitation and declined with increases in human foot print index and human density. Probability of occurrence was also significantly higher for protected areas than outside of them. We estimated the world’s jaguar population at 173,000 (95% CI: 138,000–208,000) individuals, mostly concentrated in the Amazon Basin; elsewhere, populations tend to be small and fragmented. The high number of jaguars results from the large total area still occupied (almost 9 million km2) and low human densities (< 1 person/km2) coinciding with high primary productivity in the core area of jaguar range. Our results show the importance of protected areas for jaguar persistence. We conclude that combining modelling of density and distribution can reveal ecological patterns and processes at global scales, can provide robust estimates for use in species assessments, and can guide broad-scale conservation actions.
Building bridges between environmental and political agendas is essential nowadays in face of the increasing human pressure on natural environments, including wetlands. Wetlands provide critical ecosystem services for humanity and can generate a considerable direct or indirect income to the local communities. To meet many of the sustainable development goals, we need to move our trajectory from the current environmental destructive development to a wiser wetland use. The current article contain a proposed agenda for the Pantanal aiming the improvement of public policy for conservation in the Pantanal, one of the largest, most diverse, and continuous inland wetland in the world. We suggest and discuss a list of 11 essential interfaces between science, policy, and development in region linked to the proposed agenda. We believe that a functional science network can booster the collaborative capability to generate creative ideas and solutions to address the big challenges faced by the Pantanal wetland.
Satellite telemetry is an increasingly utilized technology in wildlife research, and current devices can track individual animal movements at unprecedented spatial and temporal resolutions. However, as we enter the golden age of satellite telemetry, we need an in-depth understanding of the main technological, species-specific and environmental factors that determine the success and failure of satellite tracking devices across species and habitats. Here, we assess the relative influence of such factors on the ability of satellite telemetry units to provide the expected amount and quality of data by analyzing data from over 3,000 devices deployed on 62 terrestrial species in 167 projects worldwide. We evaluate the success rate in obtaining GPS fixes as well as in transferring these fixes to the user and we evaluate failure rates. Average fix success and data transfer rates were high and were generally better predicted by species and unit characteristics, while environmental characteristics influenced the variability of performance. However, 48% of the unit deployments ended prematurely, half of them due to technical failure. Nonetheless, this study shows that the performance of satellite telemetry applications has shown improvements over time, and based on our findings, we provide further recommendations for both users and manufacturers.
A 300 cow Brahman herd kept on improved pasture was subjected to a selection and management programme based on a limited breeding season. Artificial insemination using mainly progeny tested bulls was used in part of the herd and the rest were bred in single sire herds. Of the 200 sires used during the 30 year period, 82% were homebred and selected principally for high estimated breeding value of 18‐month weight. Variance components of birth (BW), weaning (205 W) and 18‐month (548 W) weights of 6130 calves born 1968 through to 1997 were estimated by the Restricted Maximum Likelihood method (REML) using uni‐ and bivariate animal models. For each weight the animal's direct and maternal genetic and the dam's permanent environmental effects were considered random and those of sex, year and month of birth and age of cow were considered fixed, but the models differed as far as the number of significant interactions included. Adjusted least squares means for BW, 205 W and 548 W were 28, 158 and 292 kg. Phenotypic and direct and maternal genetic trends from univariate analysis were for BW: 0.156, 0.061 and −0.001 kg; for 205 W: 0.471, 0.126 and 0.044 kg; for 548 W: 1.973, 0.486 and 0.251 kg per year. Direct and maternal heritabilities from univariate analyses were for BW, 205 W and 548 W, 0.33 and 0.08; 0.07 and 0.14; 0.13 and 0.08, respectively. Genetic direct‐maternal correlations for the three weights were −0.37, −0.13 and 0.49 and permanent environmental variance of the dam as proportion of phenotypic variance (c2) had values of 0.03, 0.16 and 0.01, respectively. Direct and maternal genetic correlations were for BW: 205 W, 0.64 and 0.74; for BW: 548 W, 0.35 and 0.74; and for 205 W: 548 W, 0.64 and 0.96. Future genetic work in the herd should put more emphasis on the improvement of cow efficiency for sustainable beef production on native and improved pasture.
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