Summary One of the major challenges associated with the geological storage of carbon dioxide (CO2) is the performance of the confining system over long time scales. In particular, the occurrence of CO2 leakage through existing wells could not only defeat the purpose of storage, but also badly affect human health or the environment. Indeed, cement degradation and casing corrosion in injection, production, or abandoned wells can create preferential channels over time, allowing the migration of CO2 from the reservoir to shallower formations (e.g. aquifers), and/or to the surface. In this paper, a risk-based approach is proposed for well-integrity and confinement-performance management. The approach, based on Performance and Risk Management methodology (P&R™), serves as a decision-support tool. The major steps in this methodology are identifying the system and sources of degradation through characterization and system analysis; quantifying their criticality through modeling, in terms of probability and severity; and establishing a risk-mitigation plan. This methodology is based on experience in material aging and risk assessment of complex systems, such as nuclear structures where probabilistic simulations are performed. It accounts for all stakes involved in well-integrity management and enables the full integration of uncertainties as part of risk estimation. The methodology presented here greatly improves common approaches based on "features, events, and processes" because it quantifies risk levels. It provides useful and reliable tools to support decisions for well-integrity-management strategies or emergency plans. To that purpose, mitigation actions such as characterization/inspection, remediation (workover), design improvement, or monitoring are valued on the basis of a cost/benefit ratio. Moreover, updating the risk assessment with incoming data allows for an evolving vision of risk levels to optimize interventions over time. This approach has been applied successfully, leading to recommendations for safer and more-efficient design, maintenance, and monitoring strategies.
Carbon Capture and Storage, as a solution to mitigate the increase in greenhouse gases emissions in the atmosphere, is still bringing intensive worldwide R&D activities. In particular, significant acceleration of in situ CCS experiments supports technical developments as well as acceptability of this technology. Among the major risks identified to this technology, wells are often considered to be the weakest spots with respect to CO2 confinement in the geological reservoir. Therefore, long-term well integrity performance assessment is one of the critical steps that must be addressed before large scale CCS technology deployment is accepted as a safe solution to reduce CO2 emissions. A risk-based methodology associated with well integrity is proposed within CO2 geological storage. The main objectives of this approach are to identify and quantify risks associated with CO2 leakages along wells over time (from tens to thousands of years), to evaluate risks and to propose relevant actions to reduce unacceptable risks. The methodological framework emphasized the use of the risk concept as a relevant criterion to (i) evaluate the overall performance of well confinement with respect to different stakes, (ii) include different levels of uncertainty associated to the studied system, and (iii) provide a reliable decision making support. For the quantification of risk, a coupled CO2 flow model (gas flow and degradation processes) was used to identify possible leakage pathways along the wellbore and quantify possible CO2 leakage towards sensitive targets (surface, fresh water, any aquifers…) for different scenarios. This approach offers an operational response to some of the challenges inherent to well integrity management over well lifecycle. This paper focuses on the application of the methodology to a synthetic case based on an existing well. The practical outcomes and the added values will be presented:an objective and structured process,scenarios identification and quantification of CO2 migration along the wellbore for each scenario,risk mapping,and operational action plans for risk treatment of well integrity.
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