The impacts of climate change are of particular concern to the coastal region of tropical countries like India, which are exposed to cyclones, floods, tsunami, seawater intrusion, etc. Climate-change adaptation presupposes comprehensive assessment of vulnerability status. Studies so far relied either on remote sensing-based spatial mapping of physical vulnerability or on certain socio-economic aspects with limited scope for upscaling or replication. The current study is an attempt to develop a holistic and robust framework to assess the vulnerability of coastal India at different levels. We propose and estimate cumulative vulnerability index (CVI) as a function of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity, at the village level, using nationally comparable and credible datasets. The exposure index (EI) was determined at the village level by decomposing the spatial multi-hazard maps, while sensitivity (SI) and adaptive capacity indices (ACI) were estimated using 23 indicators, covering social and economic aspects. The indicators were identified through the literature review, expert consultations, opinion survey, and were further validated through statistical tests. The socio-economic vulnerability index (SEVI) was constructed as a function of sensitivity and adaptive capacity for planning grassroot-level interventions and adaptation strategies. The framework was piloted in Sindhudurg, a coastal district in Maharashtra, India. It comprises 317 villages, spread across three taluks viz., Devgad, Malvan and Vengurla. The villages in Sindhudurg were ranked based on this multi-criteria approach. Based on CVI values, 92 villages (30%) in Sindhudurg were identified as highly vulnerable. We propose a decision tool for identifying villages vulnerable to changing climate, based on their level of sensitivity and adaptive capacity in a two-dimensional matrix, thus aiding in planning location-specific interventions. Here, vulnerability indicators are classified and designated as 'drivers' (indicators with significantly high values and intervention priority) and 'buffers' (indicators with low-to-moderate values) at the village level. The framework provides for aggregation or decomposition of CVI and other sub-indices, in order to plan spatial contingency plans and enable swift action for climate adaptation.
The status of reefs in Palk Bay and the Gulf of Mannar was studied during April-May 2016 following a bleach alert, as the sea surface temperature recorded a sudden increase from 30.5C to 34.0C in Gulf of Mannar. About 71.48% 8.9% of the corals in Palk Bay and 46.04% 3.78% in Thoothukkudi group of Islands in Gulf of Mannar were found bleached, showing a clearly decreasing trend from north to south, which could be attributed to the corresponding pattern in intensity of SST recorded in the study sites. Observations of bleaching patterns among different life-forms showed 68% of the bleached corals were massive forms. It was observed that 22 out of the 26 massive forms were bleached, while the Acropora corymbose (ACC), digitate (ACD) and encrusting coral (CE) forms were not bleached in any of the study sites in Palk Bay and Gulf of Mannar. The study suggests that the ACC, ACD and CE forms have adapted to thermal stress, subsequent to the earlier mass bleaching events. The study highlights the need for understanding the molecular mechanism of the association between corals and the symbiotic algae, for further understanding on coral bleaching in Indian waters.
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