Not less than 2% of the Earth’s land surface is peat-covered, so it is important to try to understand the dynamics of peat accumulation. Peat-forming systems (mires) accumulate peat because conditions within them impede the decay of the plant material produced by their surface vegetation. This paper concerns the rate of peat production and some unexpected consequences of the processes of decay. These consequences are likely to be of interest to those concerned with mire ecology and with the history of vegetation during Flandrian times. Most peat-forming systems consist of two layers: an upper 10-50 cm deep aerobic layer of high hydraulic conductivity, the acrotelm, in which the rate of decay is relatively high; and a thicker, usually anaerobic, lower layer, the catotelm, of low conductivity and with a much lower rate of decay. Plant structure at the base of the acrotelm collapses as a consequence of aerobic decay, and the hydraulic conductivity consequently decreases. As long as precipitation continues the water table therefore rises to this level, thus engulfing material at the base of the acrotelm. The rate, p c , of this input to the catotelm is exactly analogous to the rate, p a of input to the acrotelm i.e. of primary productivity of the vegetation. During passage through the acrotelm the peat becomes richer in the more slowly decaying components. The depth of, and the time for transit through, the acrotelm thus control p c . The catotelm, however, usually forms much the largest part of the peat mass. Selective decay may continue in the catotelm. The specific composition of the peat thus becomes a progressively poorer indicator of the surface vegetation that formed it, and to a degree that is not generally realized: reconstructions of the past surface vegetation may become very inaccurate. If p c were constant and there were no decay in the catotelm then for the centre of a peat bog the profile of age against depth (measured as cumulative mass below the surface) would be a straight line. But if either or both these conditions is untrue then the profile would probably be concave. Most of the cases for which data exist are consistent with a concave profile and a value (constant over several thousand years) of p c of about 50 g m -2 a -1 and a decay rate coefficient, α c , proportional to the amount of mass remaining, of about 10 -4 a -1 . This rate of input to the catotelm is about 10% of the primary productivity i.e. about 90% of the matter is lost during passage through the acrotelm. The relation seems to hold in spite of short-term fluctuations such as those represented by recurrence surfaces. Although 10 -4 a -1 seems a very slow rate, it has important consequences. (i) The peat mass tends towards a steady state in which the rate of addition of matter at the surface, p a , is balanced by losses at all depths: rate of accumulation is zero. This depth is, for the cases examined, about 5-10 m. (ii) The very concept of ‘peat accumulation rate’ thus needs careful consideration. To calculate it as the difference between two 14 C dates divided by the depth between the samples from which they were measured, as is commonly done, may be seriously misleading. The error is likely to increase with age, depth and time span. (iii) Progress in such studies can be made only if the easily measured profile of bulk density is known . The position of the profile in the peat bog must also be known. There is some evidence that peat contains, or comes to contain, about 1% or less of the original mass in a highly refractory state, so that the concept of a steady state is unlikely to be correct if times much greater than about 50 000 years are involved. Three more consequences of the continued very slow decay in the catotelm may be of interest to mire ecologists. (iv) Most of the mass that leaves the catotelm probably does so as methane gas. The concentration of methane increases with depth and may be as high as 5 μmol cm -3 at 5 m depth (about 10% by volume). Diffusion alone is able to remove mass at the necessary rate and would create concentration profiles similar to those observed. The solubility of methane in water is exceeded, however, and much of the methane may in practice be lost by mass flow of bubbles to the surface. (v) The amplitude of temperature fluctuations, as well as the mean temperature, may have a significant effect on the rate of peat decay, particularly in a cold climate. (vi) If this analysis is correct then the maximum depth of peat which can accumulate in 50 000 years is determined largely by the value of the quotient p c /α c . The usual view that the maximum depth is determined directly by climate operating through hydrology may be incorrect, though hydrology may have an indirect effect on the value of p c , the rate of input to the catotelm at the bog centre. Away from the centre p c is probably variable p c and determined by hydrology. Its dependence on distance from the centre and on time is complicated: p c / p c may be more than, equal to, or less than 1.0. The age against depth profile away from the bog centre may be directly affected by hydrology, though the effect is not large except near the edge of the bog or near the base of the peat. There may, of course, be catastrophic failure - a bog-burst or ‘flow’ - before the p c /α c limit is reached in the centre, or slower but equally destructive development of gullies and erosion.
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(1) Models of peat accumulation are developed that include constant, linear and quadratic decay of dry mass remaining. Profiles of dry bulk density of 795 peatlands distributed over Finland are used to infer cumulative carbon for each site. These values and basal ages are themselves used to infer rates of growth and decay of the peat. (2) A method, 'function parameter fitting' (FPF), is devised to estimate parameter values in non-linear functions when there are uncertainties in both variables, as there are in cumulative carbon and age. Where the data are highly variable then results with FPF are substantially different from those used hitherto that assume uncertainty in only the dependent variable. (3) For five regions in Finland and in Boreal Canada the inferred rate of addition, p* [M L-2 T-'I, is related to degree-days above zero, and decay, a* [T-'1 is related logarithmically to mean annual temperature. The present day rate of accumulation of carbon in northern peatlands is about 5.6 Tmol yr-' or, as dry mass, 0.07 Gt yr-I. (4) There are difficulties in the interpretation of LARCA (=LORCA = long term average rate of carbon accumulation). Understanding of peatland dynamics may result from the use of intrinsic models allowing decay: it is unlikely to emerge from the exotic models in common use.
The role of peatlands in the global carbon cycle is confounded by two inconsistencies. First, peatlands have been a large reservoir for carbon sequestered in the past, but may be either net sources or net sinks at present. Second, long-term rates of peat accumulation (and hence carbon sequestration) are surprisingly steady, despite great variability in the short-term rates of peat formation. Here, we present a feedback mechanism that can explain how fine-scale and short-term variability in peat-forming processes is constrained to give steady rates of peat accumulation over longer time-scales. The feedback mechanism depends on a humpbacked relationship between the rate of peat formation and the thickness of the aerobic surface layer (the acrotelm), such that individual microforms (hummocks, lawns, hollows and pools) expand or contract vertically in response to fluctuations in the position of the water table. Hummocks (but not hollows) 'evolve' to a steady state where changes in acrotelm thickness compensate for climate-mediated variations in surface wetness. With long-term growth of a topographically confined peat deposit, the steady state gradually shifts to a thicker acrotelm (i.e. taller hummocks) and lower rates of peat formation and carbon sequestration.
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