Rapid changes in flow below hydroelectric facilities result from peaking operations, where water is typically stored in a reservoir at night and released through turbines to satisfy increased electrical demand during the day. Potential impacts of these short‐term, recurring disturbances of aquatic systems below dams are important considerations in hydropower development. Reduced biotic productivity in tailwaters may be due directly to flow variations or indirectly to a variety of factors related to flow variations, such as changes in water depth or temperature, or scouring of sediments. Many riverine fish and invertebrate species have a limited range of conditions to which they are adapted. The relatively recent pattern of daily fluctuations in flow is not one to which most species are adapted; thus, such conditions can reduce the abundance, diversity, and productivity of these riverine organisms. Information needs for site‐specific evaluations of potential impacts at hydroelectric peaking projects are outlined, along with management and mitigation options to reduce anticipated adverse effects.
Models represent our primary method for integration of small-scale, processlevel phenomena into a comprehensive description of forest-stand or ecosystem function. They also represent a key method for testing hypotheses about the response of forest ecosystems to multiple changing environmental conditions. This paper describes the evaluation of 13 stand-level models varying in their spatial, mechanistic, and temporal complexity for their ability to capture intra-and interannual components of the water and carbon cycle for an upland, oak-dominated forest of eastern Tennessee. Comparisons between model simulations and observations were conducted for hourly, daily, and annual time steps. Data for the comparisons were obtained from a wide range of methods including: eddy covariance, sapflow, chamber-based soil respiration, biometric estimates of stand-level net primary production and growth, and soil water content by time or frequency domain reflectometry. Response surfaces of carbon and water flux as a function of environmental drivers, and a variety of goodness-of-fit statistics (bias, absolute bias, and model efficiency) were used to judge model performance.A single model did not consistently perform the best at all time steps or for all variables considered. Intermodel comparisons showed good agreement for water cycle fluxes, but considerable disagreement among models for predicted carbon fluxes. The mean of all model outputs, however, was nearly always the best fit to the observations. Not surprisingly, models missing key forest components or processes, such as roots or modeled soil water content, were unable to provide accurate predictions of ecosystem responses to short-term drought phenomenon. Nevertheless, an inability to correctly capture short-term physiological processes under drought was not necessarily an indicator of poor annual water and carbon budget simulations. This is possible because droughts in the subject ecosystem were of short duration and therefore had a small cumulative impact. Models using hourly time steps and detailed mechanistic processes, and having a realistic spatial representation of the forest ecosystem provided the best predictions of observed data. Predictive ability of all models deteriorated under drought conditions, suggesting that further work is needed to evaluate and improve ecosystem model performance under unusual conditions, such as drought, that are a common focus of environmental change discussions.
Thi s report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United !3tates Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, com pleteness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or othermse * ,doesnotnecegserilyconsti-M e or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors e x p r e d herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United Wtes Government or any agency thereof.
SUMMARY. Larval Chironomus decorus (Diptera: Chironomidae), taken from experimental ponds to which a coal liquid had been added, were found to have deformities of the mentum. Aberrations of the medial portion of the mentum were significantly dose‐related. Occurrence of such deformities appeared to be a less sensitive measure of pollution by the coal liquid than did previously reported changes in abundance, biomass, number of taxa, and species diversity of benthic insects.
Ten 15‐m3 outdoor ponds were treated daily for 8 weeks with a synthetic coal‐derived crude oil; ecological effects were monitored for an additional 52 weeks. The experimental design included two replicate ponds at each of five oil input rates (from 1 to 16 ml/m3/d) plus two untreated controls. A gradient of responses was observed across the gradient of treatment levels. Cladoceran zooplankton populations and ecosystem metabolism (production/respiration) were affected at the lowest input rate, but the effects disappeared before the end of the oiling period and this exposure level (approximately 3% of the 48‐h LC50 for Daphnia magna) was considered safe for this ecosystem. At the next higher treatment level, effects on zooplankton and ecosystem metabolism were greater and persisted until the oiling ended; reproduction of mosquitofish (Gambusia affmis) was also impaired. Major changes occurred throughout the ecosystem at higher treatment levels. The two highest treatment levels completely disrupted the pond community: The ponds recovered from the next‐to‐highest treatment but the effects of the highest treatment persisted for more than a year. Indirect effects occurred at all treatment levels and included changes in water quality, replacement of sensitive taxa by more tolerant competitors and changes in abundance of some species because of increases or decreases in their predators. The results of this experiment were qualitatively and quantitatively similar to those of a parallel experiment in pond‐derived microcosms, and thus substantiated the ability of the microcosms to simulate larger, more natural ecosystems.
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