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2020)Risk assessment of water inrush in tunnel through water-rich fault based on AHP-Cloud model, ABSTRACTWater inrush is a serious geological disaster in tunnel. Due to the complexity of geological conditions, large-scale water inrush is prone to occur in tunnel through water-rich fault during construction. Based on the comprehensive analysis of influencing factors, 8 evaluation indexes and the corresponding grading criteria are put forward to assess the risk of water inrush, and the risk of water inrush is divided into 4 levels. Synthesizing the standardization process and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a novel Cloud model is established to assess the risk of tunnel water inrush. The model is applied to the Longjinxi Tunnel to assess the risk level of water inrush. It is proved that the assessment results of the tunnel through water-rich fault is consistent with the actual situation, which verifies the reliability of evaluation model. ARTICLE HISTORY

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Purpose The purpose of this study is to develop optimal evacuation plan to provide valuable theoretical and practical insight in the fire evacuation work of similar structures, by proposing a systematic simulation-based guided-evacuation agent-based model (GAM) and a three-stage mathematical evacuation model to investigate how to simulate, assess and improve the performance efficiency of the evacuation plan. Design/methodology/approach The authors first present the self-evacuation and guided-evacuation models to determine the optimal evacuation plan in ship chamber. Three key performance indicators are put forward to quantitatively assess the evacuation performance within the two fire scenarios. The evacuation model in tower is built to obtain the dividing points of the three different fire evacuation plans. Findings The study shows that the optimal evacuation plan determined by the GAM considering social relationships effectively relieves the congestion or collision of evacuees and improves the evacuation uniformity. The optimal evacuation plan not only solves the crush caused by congestion or collision of evacuees but also can greatly shorten the evacuation time for passenger ship fire. Originality/value This study establishes the GAM considering the interactive evacuee characteristics and the proportion of evacuees guided by the crew members to make the optimal evacuation plan more time-efficient. The self-evacuation process is simulated to assess the performance of the guided-evacuation strategies, which are used to verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the optimal evacuation plan in this research.