The Yarkovsky effect causes the semimajor axis drift of near-Earth asteroids. The drift can be detected by a precise orbit determination process. Using the proposed algorithm, 2233 out of 27,078 near-Earth asteroids are chosen as the initial candidates. Out of these initial candidates, 769 have a measurable Yarkovsky effect with a signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) larger than 1, and 166 have a measurable Yarkovsky effect with an S/N larger than 3. The ratio between retrograde and prograde near-Earth asteroids is plotted with respect to their size. An average ratio of 2 is found for asteroids with an absolute magnitude between 14 and 21. The measurement work is carried out based on orbit determination software developed by the authors that considers a high-precision dynamical model.
Some asteroids flying close to Earth may pose a threat of impact. Among them, the structural and dynamical characteristics of rubble-pile asteroids can be changed because of the tidal force of the Earth in this process. This can provide key information for predicting the dynamical evolution of potentially hazardous asteroids. In this study, the long-term evolution of the coupling orbit–attitude–structure of these small bodies is presented numerically based on the integration of two models. One is the 3D discrete element method, which models the structure and irregular shape of the rubble-pile asteroid. The other is the dynamical model of the circular restricted three-body problem (CRTBP). This provides a more precise dynamical environment of the asteroid orbital deflection, morphological modification, and attitude angles analysis compared to the frequently adopted two-body problem. Parametric studies on the asteroid evolution were performed focusing on its flyby distance and the bulk porosity. Numerical results indicate that the Earth flyby can form different patterns of modification of asteroids, where the rubble-pile structure can be destructed by considering the bulk porosity. The asteroid orbital deflection and attitude variational trends are also summarized based on the simulations of multi-orbital revolutions.
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