Nutrient management is an essential part of watershed planning worldwide to protect water resources from both widespread landscape inputs of nutrients (N and P) and point source emissions. To provide information to regional watershed planners and better understand nutrient sources, we developed the Spatially Explicit Nutrient Source Estimate Map (SENSEmap) to quantify individual sources of N and P at their entry points in the landscape. We modeled seven sources of N and six sources of P across the U.S. Great Lakes Basin at 30‐m resolution: atmospheric deposition, septic systems, chemical nonagricultural fertilizer, chemical agricultural fertilizer, manure, nitrogen fixation, and point sources. By modeling these sources, we provide a more detailed view of nutrient inputs to the landscape beyond what would be possible from land use alone. We found that 71% and 88% of N and P, respectively, came from agricultural sources. The nature of agricultural nutrient inputs varied significantly across the basin, as relative contributions of chemical agricultural fertilizers, manure, and N fixation changed according to diverse land use practices regionally. We then applied k‐means cluster analysis and identified nine Nutrient Input Landscapes (NILs) with N and P source characteristics, grouped into intensive agricultural, urban, and rural landscapes. These NILs can offer insights into landscape variability that land use data alone cannot; within agricultural NILs, application of chemical fertilizer and manure varied greatly, but land uses were similar. These NILs can provide a framework for broadly categorizing watersheds that may prove useful to both ecological and management practices.
Water quality has suffered as humans have increased nutrient inputs across the landscape. In many cases, management actions to reduce nutrient inputs have not been met with concomitant ecosystem responses. These missed expectations are partly due to the continued slow delivery of nutrient-enriched groundwater pre-dating input reductions resulting from management actions. Land use legacies as expressed through this time lag are important to quantify in order to adjust management expectations. We present a novel coupling of nitrogen source maps with groundwater transport times to create a high-resolution (120 m) fully distributed estimate of the timing and magnitude of groundwater nitrogen deliveries to surface water across Michigan’s Lower Peninsula. This new view of the landscape has been designed around common management timelines for: elected officials looking to make a difference for re-election (<5 years), career managers hoping to see the fruits of their labor (5–30 years), and advocacy groups whose work can span generations (>30 years). One striking result is that after 100 years, in our study area, approximately 50% of the nitrogen that enters the groundwater system remains in transit. This means that actions taken now may not show the expected lower nitrogen loads to receiving ecosystems for decades to centuries. We show that differences in groundwater travel times create a heterogeneous patchwork over which managers can prioritize actions to best match their targeted response times. Across the highest nitrogen inputs in our study region, less than 10% had short enough groundwater legacies to match the management timeline of most government and agency work. Agricultural practices (manure and chemical fertilizer) are the main nitrogen contributors across the top three management classes; however, human contributions through septic tank effluent and lawn fertilizers contribute 5%–8% of nitrogen.
Nitrate in drinking water has been identified as a pollutant that can be hazardous to human health since the mid-1940s, when nitrate ingestion from well water was linked to fatal blue baby syndrome (Comly, 1945;Faucett & Miller, 1946;Ferrant, 1946). Since then, regulatory agencies in the US and World Health Organization (WHO) have imposed similar limits of 10 mg/L NO 3 -N (US) and 50 mg/L NO 3 (WHO, or 11.3 mg/L NO 3 -N) for drinking water (USEPA, 2021; WHO, 2017). Epidemiological reviews (Ward et al., 2005(Ward et al., , 2018 identified multiple studies linking drinking water with nitrate below these regulatory limits to a variety of cancers (Inoue-
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