Concepts of u-fold cross-validation and repeated learning-testing methods have been introduced here. In many problems, these methods are computationally much less expensive than ordinary cross-validation and can be used in its place. A comparative study of these three methods has been carried out in detail.

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We characterized the effect of water stress on cell division rates within the meristem of the primary root of maize (Zea mays 1.) seedlings. As usual in growth kinematics, cell number density is found by counting the number of cells per small unit length of the root; growth velocity is the rate of displacement of a cellular particle found at a given distance from the apex; and the cell flux, representing the rate at which cells are moving past a spatial point, is defined as the product of velocity and cell number density. l h e local cell division rate is estimated by summing the derivative of cell density with respect to time, and the derivative of the cell flux with respect to distance. Relatively long (2-h) intervals were required for time-lapse photography to resolve growth velocity within the meristem. Water stress caused meristematic cells to be longer and reduced the rates of cell division, per unit length of tissue and per cell, throughout most of the meristem. Peak cell division rate was 8.2

Two naturally infested Verticillium wilt-conducive soils from the Salinas Valley of coastal California were amended with disease-suppressive broccoli residue or crab meal amendments, and changes to the soil prokaryote community were monitored using Illumina sequencing of a 16S ribosomal RNA gene library generated from 160 bulk soil samples. The experiment was run in a greenhouse, twice, with eggplant as the Verticillium wilt-susceptible host. Disease suppression, plant height, soil microsclerotia density, and soil chitinase activity were assessed at the conclusion of each experiment. In soil with high microsclerotia density, all amendments significantly reduced Verticillium wilt severity and microsclerotia density, and increased soil chitinase activity. Plant height was increased only in the broccoli-containing treatments. In total, 8,790 error-corrected sequence variants representing 1,917,893 different sequences were included in the analyses. The treatments had a significant impact on the soil microbiome community structure but measures of α diversity did not vary between treatments. Community structure correlated with disease score, plant height, microsclerotia density, and soil chitinase activity, suggesting that the prokaryote community may affect the disease-related response variables or vice versa. Similarly, the abundance of 107 sequence variants correlated with disease-related response variables, which included variants from genera with known antagonists of filamentous fungal plant pathogens, such as Pseudomonas and Streptomyces. Overall, genera with antifungal antagonists were more abundant in amended soils than unamended soils, and constituted up to 8.9% of all sequences in broccoli+crabmeal-amended soil. This study demonstrates that substrate-mediated shifts in soil prokaryote communities are associated with the transition of Verticillium wilt-conducive soils to Verticillium wilt-suppressive soils, and suggests that soils likely harbor numerous additional antagonists of fungal plant pathogens that contribute to the biological suppression of plant disease.

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The levels of fasting glucose, fasting insulin, insulin resistance (IR) and the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MS) in a sample population of bipolar disorder (BPD) patients who were newly diagnosed and psychotropically naïve were assessed and compared with an age, sex and racially matched control population. 55 BPD-I patients (15-65 years) who were non-diabetic, nonpregnant, and drug naïve for a period of at least 6 months were included in the study. Diagnosis was made using the structured clinical interview for DSM-IV axis I disorders (SCID IV). IR was assessed using homeostasis model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR); MS was defined according to National Cholesterol Education Program-Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III). Data were compared with 25 healthy controls. BPD patients had significantly higher mean levels of fasting plasma insulin (13.2 ± 9.2 vs. 4.68 ± 3.1 lIU/ ml, p \ 0.05), postprandial plasma insulin (27.2 ± 14.5 vs. 18.1 ± 9.3 lIU/ml, p \ 0.05) and a higher value of HOMA-IR (3.16 ± 2.2 vs. 1.19 ± 0.8, p \ 0.05) when compared to the controls. A significantly higher proportion of patients of BPD compared to controls were manifesting levels of fasting plasma glucose, serum triglyceride and blood pressure higher than the cut off while waist circumference and serum HDL cholesterol failed to show any significant difference in the proportion. There was a significantly higher proportion of prevalence of IR between BPD cases and controls (26/55 vs. 2/25, z value 9.97, p \ 0.05) while there was no significant difference in proportion of prevalence of MS between these two groups. Within BPD patients, logistic regression analysis showed that age, sex or current mood status (depressed/ manic) were not significantly predictive of presence or absence of MS or increased IR.

JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.. Biometrika Trust is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Biometrika. SUMMARYIn this paper we extend the technique of cross-validation to the case where observations form a general stationary sequence. We call it h-block cross-validation, because the idea is to reduce the training set by removing the h observations preceding and following the observation in the test set. We propose taking h to be a fixed fraction of the sample size, and we add a term to our h-block cross-validated estimate to compensate for the underuse of the sample. The advantages of the proposed modification over the cross-validation technique are demonstrated via simulation.