Studies have demonstrated that changes in the climate affect wind power forecasting under different weather conditions. Theoretically, accurate prediction of both wind power output and weather changes using statistics-based prediction models is difficult. In practice, traditional machine learning models can perform long-term wind power forecasting with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 10% to 17%, which does not meet the engineering requirements for our renewable energy project. Deep learning networks (DLNs) have been employed to obtain the correlations between meteorological features and power generation using a multilayer neural convolutional architecture with gradient descent algorithms to minimize estimation errors. This has wide applicability to the field of wind power forecasting. Therefore, this study aimed at the long-term (24–72-h ahead) prediction of wind power with an MAPE of less than 10% by using the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) algorithm of DLNs. In our experiment, we performed TCN model pretraining using historical weather data and the power generation outputs of a wind turbine from a Scada wind power plant in Turkey. The experimental results indicated an MAPE of 5.13% for 72-h wind power prediction, which is adequate within the constraints of our project. Finally, we compared the performance of four DLN-based prediction models for power forecasting, namely, the TCN, long short-term memory (LSTM), recurrent neural network (RNN), and gated recurrence unit (GRU) models. We validated that the TCN outperforms the other three models for wind power prediction in terms of data input volume, stability of error reduction, and forecast accuracy.
With rapid advancements in in-vehicle network (IVN) technology, the demand for multiple advanced functions and networking in electric vehicles (EVs) has recently increased. To enable various intelligent functions, the electrical system of existing vehicles incorporates a controller area network (CAN) bus system that enables communication among electrical control units (ECUs). In practice, traditional network-based intrusion detection systems (NIDSs) cannot easily identify threats to the CAN bus system. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a new type of NIDS—namely, on-the-move Intrusion Detection System (OMIDS)—to categorise these threats. Accordingly, this paper proposes an intrusion detection model for IVNs, based on the VGG16 classifier deep learning model, to learn attack behaviour characteristics and classify threats. The experimental dataset was provided by the Hacking and Countermeasure Research Lab (HCRL) to validate classification performance for denial of service (DoS), fuzzy attacks, spoofing gear, and RPM in vehicle communications. The proposed classifier’s performance was compared with that of the XBoost ensemble learning scheme to identify threats from in-vehicle networks. In particular, the test cases can detect anomalies in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score to ensure detection accuracy and identify false alarm threats. The experimental results show that the classification accuracy of the dataset for HCRL Car-Hacking by the VGG16 and XBoost classifiers (n = 50) reached 97.8241% and 99.9995% for the 5-subcategory classification results on the testing data, respectively.
Most approaches for detecting network attacks involve threat analyses to match the attack to potential malicious profiles using behavioral analysis techniques in conjunction with packet collection, filtering, and feature comparison. Experts in information security are often required to study these threats, and judging new types of threats accurately in real time is often impossible. Detecting legitimate or malicious connections using protocol analysis is difficult; therefore, machine learning-based function modules can be added to intrusion detection systems to assist experts in accurately judging threat categories by analyzing the threat and learning its characteristics. In this paper, an ensemble learning scheme based on a revised random forest algorithm is proposed for a security monitoring system in the domain of renewable energy to categorize network threats in a network intrusion detection system. To reduce classification error for minority classes of experimental data in model training, the synthetic minority oversampling technique scheme (SMOTE) was formulated to re-balance the original data sets by altering the number of data points for minority class to imbue the experimental data set. The classification performance of the proposed classifier in threat classification when the data set is unbalanced was experimentally verified in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score on the UNSW-NB15 and CSE-CIC-IDS 2018 data sets. A cross-validation scheme featuring support vector machines was used to compare classification accuracies.
Distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks often use botnets to generate a high volume of packets and adopt controlled zombies for flooding a victim’s network over the Internet. Analysing the multiple sources of DDoS attacks typically involves reconstructing attack paths between the victim and attackers by using Internet protocol traceback (IPTBK) schemes. In general, traditional route-searching algorithms, such as particle swarm optimisation (PSO), have a high convergence speed for IPTBK, but easily fall into the local optima. This paper proposes an IPTBK analysis scheme for multimodal optimisation problems by applying a revised locust swarm optimisation (LSO) algorithm to the reconstructed attack path in order to identify the most probable attack paths. For evaluating the effectiveness of the DDoS control centres, networks with a topology size of 32 and 64 nodes were simulated using the ns-3 tool. The average accuracy of the LS-PSO algorithm reached 97.06 for the effects of dynamic traffic in two experimental networks (number of nodes = 32 and 64). Compared with traditional PSO algorithms, the revised LSO algorithm exhibited a superior searching performance in multimodal optimisation problems and increased the accuracy in traceability analysis for IPTBK problems.
Deep learning networks (DLNs) use multilayer neural networks for multiclass classification that exhibit better results in wind-power forecasting applications. However, improving the training process using proper parameter hyperisations and techniques, such as regularisation and Adam-based optimisation, remains a challenge in the design of DLNs for processing time-series data. Moreover, the most appropriate parameter for the DLN model is to solve the wind-power forecasting problem by considering the excess training algorithms, such as the optimiser, activation function, batch size, and dropout. Reinforcement learning (RN) schemes constitute a smart approach to explore the proper initial parameters for the developed DLN model, considering a balance between exploration and exploitation processes. Therefore, the present study focuses on determining the proper hyperparameters for DLN models using a Q-learning scheme for four developed models. To verify the effectiveness of the developed temporal convolution network (TCN) models, experiments with five different sets of initial parameters for the TCN model were determined by the output results of Q-learning computation. The experimental results showed that the TCN accuracy for 168 h wind power prediction reached a mean absolute percentage error of 1.41%. In evaluating the effectiveness of selection of hyperparameters for the proposed model, the performance of four DLN-based prediction models for power forecasting—TCN, long short-term memory (LSTM), recurrent neural network (RNN), and gated recurrence unit (GRU) models—were compared. The overall detection accuracy of the TCN model exhibited higher prediction accuracy compared to canonical recurrent networks (i.e., the GRU, LSTM, and RNN models).
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