A 47-year record of gridded data covering Africa south of the Sahara was used to document the spatial and seasonal patterns of the correlation between precipitation and sea-surface temperatures (SST) in key tropical areas, as depicted by the NIN 0 O3, South Atlantic and North Atlantic indices. El Niñ o -Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is confirmed as playing a dominant part in northeastern, eastern and southern Africa. However, its impact is also found over the Sahel during the northern summer, and other parts of the Gulf of Guinea region outside this season, a hitherto poorly documented feature. Over these two areas, ENSO and Atlantic SST (predominantly South Atlantic) contribute to different parts of the rainfall variance. The correlation with South Atlantic SST appears as a south -north dipole (positive/negative correlation) which shifts northward following the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) translation between the northern low-sun and high-sun periods. A typing of the seasonal correlation patterns and a mapping of the multiple correlation coefficients are carried out in order to synthesize the space-time impacts of the three SST indices. Decadal-scale changes affect the strength of the teleconnections with both Atlantic and East Pacific SST, as reflected for instance by a small rise of the correlation with the NIN 0 O3 index since [1970][1971][1972][1973][1974][1975] in the Sahel and southern Africa, and additional shifts for the Atlantic Ocean, but the main patterns remain generally apparent over the whole period.The circulation anomalies associated with the teleconnections were assessed using National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data. A study of the dataset accuracy in depicting long-term climatic variations revealed that a major shift, mainly artificial, is found in 1967-1968 in the time-series of most of the variables. The rest of the work thus concentrated on the 1968-1997 period. A number of changes in east-west circulation patterns have been found to be associated to ENSO variations. Over West Africa, El Niñ o events tend to result in enhanced northeasterlies/reduced monsoon flow, coupled to weakened upper easterlies, and hence dry conditions over West Africa close to the surface position of the ITCZ, in July -September, as well as January-March. Over the southwestern Indian Ocean, the positive equatorial temperature/geopotential height anomalies, which at 200 hPa accompany El Niñ o events, are conducive to an eastward shift of the mid-latitude upper troughs, thus being detrimental to summer rainfall over South Africa. Abnormally wet 'short rains' in East Africa can be accounted for by an ENSO-forced weakening of the equatorial Walker-type (east -west) cell which is found over the Indian Ocean during that season. By contrast, the impact of South Atlantic warmings is mostly shown in low-level dynamics, as exemplified by the weakened trades and monsoon flow which directly result in a southward shift of the ITCZ. The com...
Analysis of a continuous sedimentary record taken in the Maldives indicates that strong primary production fluctuations (70 to 390 grams of carbon per square meter per year) have occurred in the equatorial Indian Ocean during the past 910,000 years. The record of primary production is coherent and in phase with the February equatorial insolation, whereas it shows diverse phase behavior with delta18O, depending on the orbital frequency (eccentricity, obliquity, or precession) examined. These observations imply a direct control of productivity in the equatorial oceanic system by insolation. In the equatorial Indian Ocean, productivity is driven by the wind intensity of westerlies, which is related to the Southern Oscillation; therefore, it is suggested that a precession forcing on the Southern Oscillation is responsible for the observed paleoproductivity dynamics.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.