We explore noninvasive clinical applications of multiple disease-specific fusion markers recently discovered in prostate cancer to predict the risk of cancer occurrence and aggressiveness at diagnosis. A total of 92 men who were prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screened and scheduled for diagnostic biopsy were enrolled for this study. Prospectively collected urine was blind coded for laboratory tests. RNA from urine sediments was analyzed using a panel of 6 TMPRSS2:ETS fusion markers with a sensitive quantitative PCR platform. The pathology reported 39 biopsy-positive cases from 92 patients (42.4%). In urine test, 10 unique combinations of fusion types were detected in 32 of 92 (34.8%) prebiopsy samples. A novel combination of fusion markers, termed Fx (III, IV, ETS), was identified with a sensitivity of 51.3% and an odds ratio of 10.1 in detecting cancer on biopsy. Incorporating a categorical variable of Fx (III, IV, ETS) with urine PCA3 and serum PSA, a regression model was developed to predict biopsy outcomes with an overall accuracy of 77%. Moreover, the overexpression of Fx (III, IV, or ETS) was shown to be an independent predictor to the high-grade cancer, with a predictive accuracy of 80% when coupled with PSA density. The individualized risk scores further stratified a high-risk group that is composed of 92% high-grade cancers and a low-risk group that harbors mainly clinically insignificant cancers. In conclusion, we have identified a novel combination of fusion types very specific to the clinically significant prostate cancer and developed effective regression models to predict biopsy outcomes and aggressive cancers at diagnosis.
Background and objectives: The fusion of TMPRSS2 gene to an oncogenic ETS transcription factor gene (e.g. ERG) is both prevalent and unique to prostate cancer (PCa). We previously reported a panel of TMPRSS2:ERG fusion subtype markers for urine-based PCa detection with high specificity and sensitivity. Our current objectives are to investigate prospectively the sensitivity of a new panel of both common and low-prevalent TMPRSS2:ETS fusion gene markers for urine-based PCa detection, and to develop individualized molecular scores to predict the risk of cancer occurrence or the risk of aggressive cancer in PSA-screened patients at diagnostic biopsy. Participants and methods: A total of 92 subjects who were PSA screened and scheduled for diagnostic biopsy were enrolled from a prostate biopsy clinic at MUHC to form a pre-biopsy cohort. This cohort was designed for prospective molecular diagnosis of PCa using a panel of molecular markers in urine. Urine was collected after attentive digital rectal exam prior to biopsy and was coded for blind laboratory tests. RNA from urine sediments was analyzed using a panel of cancer-specific markers consisting of 6 TMPRSS2:ETS (i.e. ERG, ETV1, ETV4, ETV5) fusion genes/subtypes and 5 additional markers using established qPCR methods. Results: The pathology reported 39 biopsy-positive cases from 92 patients, a 42% biopsy-positive rate. In urine test, 10 unique combinations of fusion genes/subtypes or “fusion-types” were detected in 32 of 92 (34.8%) pre-biopsy samples. We identified a novel combination of fusion-types, termed Fx (III, V, ETS), that had a sensitivity of 51.3%, a specificity of 90.6% and an odds ratio of 10.1 in detecting PCa on biopsy. By incorporating the fusion-types Fx (III, V, ETS) with urine PCA3 and serum PSA, a regression model was developed to calculate individualized molecular scores for significantly improved prediction of biopsy outcomes and for stratification of pre-biopsy patients into distinct risk groups. As such, the sensitivity of PCa detection was 81% in a high risk group but only 16% in a low risk group. On the other hand, the overexpression profiles of the same set of informative fusion markers were shown to be significantly associated with high-grade cancers (Gleason > 6) and used to develop a novel regression model to predict the risk of aggressive cancer when coupled with PSA density. We demonstrated that the molecular scores for aggressiveness were highly correlated with Gleason scores (r = 0.64, p < 0.0001), the number of positive cores (r = 0.48, p < 0.01) and the % of cancer involvement (r = 0.59, p < 0.0001) in 39 PCa patients. Conclusions: We have identified multiple alternative fusion-types very specific to clinically significant prostate cancer in urine and developed highly effective regression models to predict the risk of cancer occurrence or the risk of aggressive cancer at diagnosis.
Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 103rd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2012 Mar 31-Apr 4; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2012;72(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 4542. doi:1538-7445.AM2012-4542
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