We hypothesized that lactate levels even within the normal range are prognostic and that low lactate levels predict a beneficial response to vasopressin infusion in septic shock. We conducted a retrospective analysis using the Vasopressin in Septic Shock Trial (VASST) as a derivation cohort (n = 665), then validated using another single-center septic shock cohort, St Paul's Hospital (SPH) cohort (n = 469). Lactate levels were divided into quartiles. The primary outcome variable was 28-day mortality in both cohorts. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to compare the prognostic value of lactate concentrations versus Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores. We then explored whether lactate concentrations might predict beneficial response to vasopressin compared with noradrenaline in VASST. Normal lactate range is less than 2.3 mmol/L. At enrollment, patients in the second quartile (1.4 < lactate < 2.3 mmol/L) had significantly increased mortality and organ dysfunction compared with patients who had lactate ≤ 1.4 mmol/L (quartile 1) (P < 0.0001). Quartile 2 outcomes were as severe as quartile 3 (2.3 ≤ lactate < 4.4 mmol/L) outcomes. Baseline lactate values (ar ea under the ROC curve = 0.63, 0.66; VASST, SPH) were as good as Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores (area under the ROC curve = 0.66, 0.73; VASST, SPH) as prognostic indicators of 28-day mortality. Lactate concentrations of 1.4 mmol/L or less predicted a beneficial response in those randomized to vasopressin compared with noradrenaline in VASST (P < 0.05). Lactate concentrations within the "normal" range can be a useful prognostic indicator in septic shock. Furthermore, patients whose lactate level is less than or equal to 1.4 mmol/L may benefit from vasopressin infusion.

IntroductionObesity is an increasingly common comorbidity in critically ill patients. Whether obesity alters sepsis outcome, susceptibility, treatment, and response is not completely understood.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis comparing three group of septic shock patients based on the intervals of actual body mass index (BMI) in patients enrolled in the VASST (Vasopressin and Septic Shock Trial) cohort. Primary outcome measurement was 28-day mortality. We tested for differences in patterns of infection by comparing the primary site of infection and organism. We also compared the treatments (fluids and vasopressors) and inflammatory response, measuring adipose tissue-related cytokine concentrations (interleukin [IL]-6, monocyte chemotactic protein [MCP]-1, tumor necrosis factor [TNF]-α, and resistin) in plasma in a subset of 382 patients. Of the 778 patients in VASST, 730 patients who had body weight and height measurements were analyzed. Patients with BMI <25 kg/m2 (n = 276) were grouped as a reference and compared to 'overweight' (25< BMI <30 kg/m2, n = 209) and 'obese' (BMI >30 kg/m2, n = 245) patients.ResultsObese patients had the lowest 28-day mortality followed by overweight patients while patients with BMI <25 kg/m2 had the highest mortality (p = 0.02). Compared to the patients with BMI <25 kg/m2, obese and overweight patients also had a different pattern of infection with less lung (obese 35%, overweight 45%, BMI<25 kg/m2 50%, p = 0.003) and fungal infection (obese 8.2%, overweight 11%, and BMI<25 kg/m2 15.6%, p = 0.03). Per kilogram, obese and overweight patients received less fluid during the first four days (p<0.05) and received less norepinephrine (obese 0.14, overweight 0.21, BMI <25 kg/m2 0.26 µg/kg/min, p<0.0001) and vasopressin (obese 0.28, overweight 0.36, BMI <25 kg/m2 0.43 µU/kg/min, p<0.0001) on day 1 compared to patients with BMI <25 kg/m2. Obese and overweight patients also had a lower plasma IL-6 concentration at baseline (obese 106 [IQR 34-686], overweight 190 [IQR 44-2339], BMI <25 kg/m2 235 [IQR 44-1793] pg/mL, p = 0.046).ConclusionsOverall obesity was associated with improved survival in septic shock and differences in pattern of infection, fluids, and vasopressors. Importantly, the magnitude of inflammatory IL-6 response is muted in the obese.

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