ObjectiveTo assess the efficacy of three months of antibiotic treatment compared with placebo in patients with chronic low back pain, previous disc herniation, and vertebral endplate changes (Modic changes).DesignDouble blind, parallel group, placebo controlled, multicentre trial.SettingHospital outpatient clinics at six hospitals in Norway.Participants180 patients with chronic low back pain, previous disc herniation, and type 1 (n=118) or type 2 (n=62) Modic changes enrolled from June 2015 to September 2017.InterventionsPatients were randomised to three months of oral treatment with either 750 mg amoxicillin or placebo three times daily. The allocation sequence was concealed by using a computer generated number on the prescription.Main outcome measuresThe primary outcome was the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score (range 0-24) at one year follow-up in the intention to treat population. The minimal clinically important between group difference in mean RMDQ score was predefined as 4.ResultsIn the primary analysis of the total cohort at one year, the difference in the mean RMDQ score between the amoxicillin group and the placebo group was −1.6 (95% confidence interval −3.1 to 0.0, P=0.04). In the secondary analysis, the difference in the mean RMDQ score between the groups was −2.3 (−4.2 to−0.4, P=0.02) for patients with type 1 Modic changes and −0.1 (−2.7 to 2.6, P=0.95) for patients with type 2 Modic changes. Fifty patients (56%) in the amoxicillin group experienced at least one drug related adverse event compared with 31 (34%) in the placebo group.ConclusionsIn this study on patients with chronic low back pain and Modic changes at the level of a previous disc herniation, three months of treatment with amoxicillin did not provide a clinically important benefit compared with placebo. Secondary analyses and sensitivity analyses supported this finding. Therefore, our results do not support the use of antibiotic treatment for chronic low back pain and Modic changes.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT02323412.

Background: Limited reliability data exist for evaluation of spinal edema changes on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequences. Purpose: To assess the inter-observer reliability for evaluation of STIR signal increase related to Modic changes (MCs) on MRI of the lumbar spine. Material and Methods: We prospectively included 120 patients imaged to confirm their eligibility for the AIM (Antibiotics In Modic changes) trial. Three experienced radiologists independently evaluated MCs on T1-/T2-weighted fast spin-echo images and subsequently MC-related STIR signal increases. Inter-observer reliability was analyzed at four endplates (L4-S1) by calculating kappa values and means of differences with 95% limits of agreement. Results: Overall agreement (mean Fleiss' kappa for all endplates and observers) was very good for presence of STIR signal increase (0.86), and moderate for its categorized height (0.51), anteroposterior extent (0.48), and volume (0.56). For height of region with STIR signal increase measured in % points of vertebral body height, the largest mean of differences was 6.9 and widest range for limits of agreement was AE22.3 for all endplates combined. The corresponding numbers were 11.2 AE 34.5 for anteroposterior extent of the STIR signal increase measured in % points of anteroposterior endplate diameter and 0.9 AE 7.6 for its maximum measured intensity on a % point scale (0% ¼ normal vertebral marrow intensity, 100% ¼ cerebrospinal fluid intensity). Conclusion: Inter-observer reliability was very good for the presence and intensity of MC-related STIR signal increases, and moderate for their size.

Objective To evaluate potential MRI-defined effect modifiers of amoxicillin treatment in patients with chronic low back pain and type 1 or 2 Modic changes (MCs) at the level of a previous lumbar disc herniation (index level). Methods In a prospective trial (AIM), 180 patients (25–64 years; mean age 45; 105 women) were randomised to receive amoxicillin or placebo for 3 months. Primary outcome was the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score (0–24 scale) at 1 year. Mean RMDQ score difference between the groups at 1 year defined the treatment effect; 4 RMDQ points defined the minimal clinically important effect. Predefined baseline MRI features of MCs at the index level(s) were investigated as potential effect modifiers. The predefined primary hypothesis was a better effect of amoxicillin when short tau inversion recovery (STIR) shows more MC-related high signal. To evaluate this hypothesis, we pre-constructed a composite variable with three categories (STIR1/2/3). STIR3 implied MC-related STIR signal increases with volume ≥ 25% and height > 50% of vertebral body and maximum intensity increase ≥ 25% and presence on both sides of the disc. As pre-planned, interaction with treatment was analysed using ANCOVA in the per protocol population (n = 155). Results The STIR3 composite group (n = 41) and STIR signal volume ≥ 25% alone (n = 45) modified the treatment effect of amoxicillin. As hypothesised, STIR3 patients reported the largest effect (− 5.1 RMDQ points; 95% CI − 8.2 to − 1.9; p for interaction = 0.008). Conclusions Predefined subgroups with abundant MC-related index-level oedema on STIR modified the effect of amoxicillin. This finding needs replication and further support. Key Points • In the primary analysis of the AIM trial, the effect of amoxicillin in patients with chronic low back pain and type 1 or 2 MCs did not reach the predefined cut-off for clinical importance. • In the present MRI subgroup analysis of AIM, predefined subgroups with abundant MC-related oedema on STIR reported an effect of amoxicillin. • This finding requires replication and further support.