To evaluate stroke risk factors in Goteborg, Sweden, during 1970-1973 a cohort of 7,495 participating men from a general population sample of 9,998 men aged 47-55 years were examined with respect to cardiovascular risk factors. Men with hypertension and hypercholesterolemia and men who were heavy smokers were treated. We assessed stroke end points and cause-specific mortality using a stroke register and death certificates. During a mean follow-up of 11.8 years, 230 strokes occurred in the entire population sample (participants and nonparticipants) (7% subarachnoid hemorrhages, 13% intracerebral hemorrhages, 42% cerebral infarctions, and 38% unspecified strokes). Using univariate analysis, we found measured high blood pressure (systolic and diastolic), smoking, known hypertension, diabetes mellitus, stroke in either parent, severe psychological stress, marital status, atrial fibrillation, previous transient ischemic attacks, previous myocardial infarction, effort-induced chest pain, and intermittent claudication to be significantly related to all stroke. Of the stroke types, subarachnoid hemorrhage was not related to any of these indicators, and intracerebral hemorrhage was related only to measured high blood pressure. Using multivariate analyses, we found measured high blood pressure, smoking, and severe psychological stress as well as atrial fibrillation, previous transient ischemic attacks, and intermittent claudication to be independent risk factors for nonhemorrhagic stroke. Serum cholesterol concentration, occupational and leisure-time physical activity, body mass index, alcohol abuse, and low occupational class were not risk factors for stroke. (Stroke 1990^1:223-229) S till a major cause of ill health, stroke is the third most common cause of death in most industrialized countries and the leading cause of neurologic handicap, particularly among the elderly. Huge costs are involved in the care of persons afflicted with stroke. It has long been recognized that preventive measures are of the utmost importance in attempts to reduce the incidence of stroke 1 since no effective cures are available.The best-documented risk factor for stroke, hypertension, 2 is essentially treatable, and part of the decline in stroke morbidity and mortality during the past decades is presumably due to its better management. However, apart from hypertension, risk factors From the

Background and Purpose: Stroke risk factors have been shown to change with time in several places; simultaneously, stroke incidence rates have increased in some and decreased in other places. In Goteborg, Sweden, cardiovascular epidemiological research has included stroke registration since 1971. From these data on stroke, incidence and fatality rates from a 17-year period are given.Methods: During the period 1971-1987 all cases of stroke occurring in people aged 15-65 years in the city of Goteborg were uniformly recorded, with an estimated case detection rate of 90% or more.Results: Age-adjusted incidence rates of first-ever stroke by sex did not change during the period. Age-specific rates and rates for individual types of stroke (subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, and cerebral infarction-unspecified stroke combined) were also largely unchanged. A slight increase in the incidence rate of intracerebral hemorrhage may be due to better detection after computed tomography came into use in 1976. Stroke fatality rates declined through the whole period in both sexes and all age groups, markedly so for intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage.Conclusions: This conforms with vital statistics for Goteborg and for Sweden of declining stroke mortality during the period. The decline in stroke fatality rates may be related to decreases in smoking habits and blood pressure together with an increase in the percentage of people on antihypertensive treatment among middle-aged men, and to some extent even middle-aged women, reported from the same population. Why stroke incidence rates did not decline concomitantly is unexplained. (Stroke 1992;23:1410-1415)

Background and Purpose-To estimate the predictive value of risk factors for stroke measured in midlife over follow-up extending through 28 years. Methods-A cohort of 7457 men 47 to 55 years of age and free of stroke at baseline year 1970 were examined. Risk of stroke was analyzed for the entire period and for 0 to 15, 16 to 21, and 22 to 28 years of follow-up using age-adjusted and multiple Cox regression analyses. Results-Age, diabetes, and high blood pressure were independently associated with increased risk of stroke for the entire 28 years and for each of the periods. Previous transient ischemic attacks, atrial fibrillation, history of chest pain, smoking, and psychological stress were independently related to stroke for the entire follow-up period and also during the first 1 or 2 successive periods. Family history of stroke or of coronary disease carried no independent prognostic information, nor did serum cholesterol. Elevated body mass index predicted stroke during the later part of the follow-up and so did (almost) low physical activity during leisure time, together with antihypertensive medication at baseline. Conclusions-High blood pressure and diabetes retain their importance as stroke risk factors also over an extended follow-up into old age. A family history of cardiovascular disease was not significantly related to outcome. Transient ischemic attacks, atrial fibrillation, stress, smoking, and a history of chest pain were associated with outcome only for the first or the first 2 periods. High body mass index and antihypertensive medication at baseline emerged as risk factors in the second and third decades.

Background and Purpose-Stroke incidence rates were unchanged whereas fatality rates declined during the period 1971 to 1987 in Gothenburg (Göteborg), Sweden. For the period 1987 to 2006, we now report on trends in stroke incidence and mortality with concurrent risk factor trends in the same population. Since 1976 the incidence of myocardial infarction decreased by 50%. Methods-Through the National Hospital Discharge Register linked with the Cause of Death Register, 12 904 males and 15 250 females with first strokes were detected for the period 1987 to 2006. Cardiovascular risk factor data were available for random population samples of men and women aged 50 years from 1963 to 2003. Results-Incidence and mortality rates for all-stroke were unchanged. Rates for subarachnoid hemorrhage declined for the age group 45 to 54 in men, but not significantly in any other age group of men or women. Mortality rates of intracerebral hemorrhage declined for women aged 65 to 74, with no significant changes in any other age group. Ischemic stroke incidence did not change, but mortality increased for men and women aged 75 and older, whereas mortality declined for the age group 20 to 44 for men. In the general population there were significant reductions in smoking, total cholesterol, and blood pressure levels in both men and women, whereas diabetes prevalence, body weight, and BMI increased among both sexes, and triglycerides increased in men. Conclusion-Contrary