Madagascar and the Mascarene Islands of Mauritius and Rodrigues underwent catastrophic ecological and landscape transformations, which virtually eliminated their entire endemic vertebrate megafauna during the past millennium. These ecosystem changes have been alternately attributed to either human activities, climate change, or both, but parsing their relative importance, particularly in the case of Madagascar, has proven difficult. Here, we present a multimillennial (approximately the past 8000 years) reconstruction of the southwest Indian Ocean hydroclimate variability using speleothems from the island of Rodrigues, located ∼1600 km east of Madagascar. The record shows a recurring pattern of hydroclimate variability characterized by submillennial-scale drying trends, which were punctuated by decadal-to-multidecadal megadroughts, including during the late Holocene. Our data imply that the megafauna of the Mascarenes and Madagascar were resilient, enduring repeated past episodes of severe climate stress, but collapsed when a major increase in human activity occurred in the context of a prominent drying trend.
This manuscript analyses the climatological characteristics (especially the synoptic phenomena and changes) of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon withdrawal (SCSSMW) based on monsoon retreat dates from the National Climate Center of China Meteorological Administration. The SCSSMW is mainly defined as the westerly to easterly shift in the zonal winds due to the westwards intrusion of the western North Pacific (WNP) subtropical high in the northern SCS region. At the low level (850 hPa), the weakening and retreat of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and rain belt in the SCS–WNP are pertinent, and the southwesterly winds over the north Indian Ocean and the SCS also weaken and retreat. The anomalous anticyclone centred over the northern SCS resembles a Rossby wave response to the reduced precipitation over the SCS and the Philippine Sea. Changes in the upper‐level (200 hPa) circulations include the deceleration of the tropical easterly stream (from the Indo‐China Peninsula to the Arabian Sea) and northerly cross‐equatorial flow (around the equatorial eastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent). At the mid‐level (500 hPa), the ascending centre moves equatorwards, shifting from the northern to the southern SCS. There appears an anomalous vertical circulation cell (descending/ascending in the northern/southern SCS), which links the anomalous horizontal circulation through the Sverdrup balance. In addition, the upper‐level divergent centre is shifted southeastwards, as is the generating centre of tropical cyclones. Moreover, an anomalous convergent centre over Taiwan Island is prominent in the upper level. The time series of several atmospheric variables (e.g., zonal wind, precipitation, convection) also exhibited abrupt changes during the SCSSMW. The reasons for not simultaneous retreat of monsoonal westerlies and rainy season in the SCS are also explored.
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region has encountered increasingly severe and frequent haze pollution during recent decades. This study reveals that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has distinctive impacts on interannual variations of haze pollution over BTH in early and late winters. The impact of ENSO on the haze pollution over the BTH is strong in early winter, but weak in late winter. In early winter, ENSO-related sea surface temperature anomalies generate double-cell Walker circulation anomalies, with upward motion anomalies over the tropical central-eastern Pacific and tropical Indian Ocean, and downward motion anomalies over tropical western Pacific. The ascending motion and enhanced atmospheric heating anomalies over the tropical Indian Ocean trigger atmospheric teleconnection propagating from North Indian Ocean to East Asia, and result in generation of an anticyclonic anomaly over northeast Asia. The associated southerly anomalies to the west side lead to more serious haze pollution via reducing surface wind speed and increasing low-level humidity and thermal inversion. Strong contribution of the Indian Ocean heating anomalies to the formation of the anticyclonic anomaly over northeast Asia in early winter can be confirmed by atmospheric model numerical experiments. In late winter, vertical motion and precipitation anomalies are weak over tropical Indian Ocean related to ENSO. As such, ENSO cannot induce clear anticyclonic anomaly over northeast Asia via atmospheric teleconnection, and thus has a weak impact on the haze pollution over BTH. Further analysis shows that stronger ENSO-induced atmospheric heating anomalies over tropical Indian Ocean in early winter is partially due to higher mean SST and precipitation there.
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