Significant impact of extreme droughts on human society and ecosystem has occurred in many places of the world, for example, Southwest China (SWC). Considerable research concentrated on analyzing causes and effects of droughts in SWC, but few studies have examined seasonal indicators, such as variations of surface water and vegetation phenology. With the ongoing satellite missions, more and more earth observation data become available to environmental studies. Exploring the responses of seasonal indicators from satellite data to drought is helpful for the future drought forecast and management. This study analyzed the seasonal responses of surface water and vegetation phenology to drought in SWC using the multi-source data including Seasonal Water Area (SWA), Permanent Water Area (PWA), Start of Season (SOS), End of Season (EOS), Length of Season (LOS), precipitation, temperature, solar radiation, evapotranspiration, the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) and data from water conservancy construction. The results showed that SWA and LOS effectively revealed the development and recovery of droughts. There were two obvious drought periods from 2000 to 2017. In the first period (from August 2003 to June 2007), SWA decreased by 11.81% and LOS shortened by 5 days. They reduced by 21.04% and 9 days respectively in the second period (from September 2009 to June 2014), which indicated that there are more severe droughts in the second period. The SOS during two drought periods delayed by 3~6 days in spring, while the EOS advanced 1~3 days in autumn. All of PDSI, SWA and LOS could reflect the period of droughts in SWC, but the LOS and PDSI were very sensitive to the meteorological events, such as precipitation and temperature, while the SWA performed a more stable reaction to drought and could be a good indicator for the drought periodicity. This made it possible for using SWA in drought forecast because of the strong correlation between SWA and drought. Our results improved the understanding of seasonal responses to extreme droughts in SWC, which will be helpful to the drought monitoring and mitigation for different seasons in this ecologically fragile region.

Drought can cause severe agricultural economic losses and hinder social and economic development. To manage drought, the process of drought events needs to be described with the help of an effective drought indicator. As a comprehensive variable, soil moisture is an essential indicator for describing agricultural drought. In this work, the extreme drought events in southwest China were analysed by the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) root zone soil moisture data set. To define the drought quantitatively, a Standardized Soil Moisture Drought Index (SSMI) was calculated using the soil moisture data, then used to get the duration, frequency, and severity of drought events in southwest China. The results showed that the frequency and intensity of drought in southwest China had an apparent upward trend before 2014 and an apparent downward trend since 2014. Moreover, there are apparent differences in the frequency and intensity of drought in various regions of southwest China. Yunnan Province is prone to spring drought events. Guangxi Province and Guizhou Province are prone to spring, autumn and winter droughts, and the intensity of autumn and winter droughts is significantly higher than that of spring droughts. The Sichuan-Chongqing border area is prone to summer drought. We found that the monthly variation of soil moisture in different provinces in southwest China is consistent, but the seasonal variation of drought is different. Meanwhile, the performance of the SSMI was compared to the commonly used drought indices, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). The results showed that the SSMI is more sensitive to drought than both SPEI and PDSI in southwest China. The results also demonstrate that GLDAS soil moisture data can be used to study drought at a small regional scale.

Lake Qinghai has shrunk and then expanded over the past few decades. Quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to lake variation is important for water resource management and adaptation to climate change. In this study, we calculated the water volume change of Lake Qinghai, analyzed the climate and land use changes in Lake Qinghai catchment, and distinguished the contributions of climate change and local human activities to water volume change. The results showed that lake water volume decreased by 9.48 km3 from 1975 to 2004 and increased by 15.18 km3 from 2005 to 2020. The climate in Lake Qinghai catchment is becoming warmer and more pluvial, and the changes in land use have been minimal. Based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), land use change, climate change and interaction effect of them contributed to 7.46%, 93.13% and −0.59%, respectively, on the variation in surface runoff into the lake. From the perspective of the water balance, we calculated the proportion of each component flowing into and out of the lake and found that the contribution of climate change to lake water volume change was 97.55%, while the local human activities contribution was only 2.45%. Thus, climate change had the dominant impact on water volume change in Lake Qinghai.

Backgrounds Vegetation dynamic plays a dominant role in the global carbon cycle and climate, especially in vulnerable karst ecosystem. Many studies have examined past several decades changes in vegetation greenness and the associated with climate drivers. Yet, few studies have analyzed the vegetation change in global karst regions particularly in the last decades when climate change and anthropogenic disturbance widely occurred.Methods In this study, we investigated the spatio-temporal variations of vegetation dynamic using the Seasonally Integrated Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SINDVI) and examined their relationship to climate changes by correlation analysis, the ordinary least squares method investigate the variation trends and the Mann-Kendal test to detect the turning point from 2001 to 2020. ResultsAs expected, there have greening trend in global karst SINDVI from 2001 to 2020, with significant increasing trend in China (range = 0.836, P < 0.05), Europe (range = 0.456, P < 0.05) and many other regions.According to correlation analyses, SINDVI is water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, such as Middle East and central Asia, and temperature-limited in northern high-latitude.Conclusions consistent with previous studies, our results suggest that anthropogenic activities are mainly responsible for increasing vegetation greenness in tailoring management measures (e.g., Ecological Engineering, the Grain to Green Project) of China and Europe, intensive farmed in Middle East. Coupling warming temperature and increasing precipitation, southeastern Asia and Russia showed an increasing trend in SINDVI. In general, climate factors were the dominant drivers of the variation in vegetation greenness in globally karst regions during research period.

Backgrounds Vegetation dynamic plays a dominant role in the global carbon cycle and climate, especially in vulnerable karst ecosystem. Many studies have examined past several decades changes in vegetation greenness and the associated with climate drivers. Yet, few studies have analyzed the vegetation change in global karst regions particularly in the last decades when climate change and anthropogenic disturbance widely occurred. Methods In this study, we investigated the spatio-temporal variations of vegetation dynamic using the Seasonally Integrated Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SINDVI) and examined their relationship to climate changes by correlation analysis, the ordinary least squares method investigate the variation trends and the Mann-Kendal test to detect the turning point from 2001 to 2020. Results As expected, there have greening trend in global karst SINDVI from 2001 to 2020, with significant increasing trend in China (range = 0.836, P < 0.05), Europe (range = 0.456, P < 0.05) and many other regions. According to correlation analyses, SINDVI is water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, such as Middle East and central Asia, and temperature-limited in northern high-latitude. Conclusions consistent with previous studies, our results suggest that anthropogenic activities are mainly responsible for increasing vegetation greenness in tailoring management measures (e.g., Ecological Engineering, the Grain to Green Project) of China and Europe, intensive farmed in Middle East. Coupling warming temperature and increasing precipitation, southeastern Asia and Russia showed an increasing trend in SINDVI. In general, climate factors were the dominant drivers of the variation in vegetation greenness in globally karst regions during research period.